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Paris vs Monaco 4-1 Score & Prediction Review

Ligue 1 - Season 2025/2026 (Round 29)

The match between Paris and Monaco ended 4-1. Our AI model predicted an Monaco win at 38% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

Paris vs Monaco — Ligue 1 Prediction Accuracy

Season 2025/2026 · Round 29 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

MonacoMonaco
45.2%(14/31)

+3.9% Above implied probability

ParisParis
38.7%(12/31)

-11% Below implied probability

43.5% Implied Probability

Both Teams To Score

MonacoMonaco
58.1%(18/31)

+7.4% Above implied probability

ParisParis
41.9%(13/31)

-22.6% Below implied probability

54.1% Implied Probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

MonacoMonaco
64.5%(20/31)

+20.3% Strongly above implied probability

ParisParis
51.6%(16/31)

-3.7% Near implied probability

53.6% Implied Probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

MonacoMonaco
45.2%(14/31)

-26.5% Below implied probability

ParisParis
67.7%(21/31)

+10.1% Strongly above implied probability

61.5% Implied Probability

First Half Result

MonacoMonaco
41.9%(13/31)

+10% Above implied probability

ParisParis
32.3%(10/31)

-15.2% Below implied probability

38.1% Implied Probability

Correct Score

MonacoMonaco
3.2%(1/31)
ParisParis
6.5%(2/31)

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Paris and Monaco across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Monaco hit at 65% accuracy — that's 20.3% above the bookmaker baseline of 53.6%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Monaco sit 26.5% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Paris vs Monaco 4-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Paris vs Monaco. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

Full Time
135%
X26%
238%
Goals Over/Under
<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT25%75%48%52%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
60%40%83%17%
1st Half
132%
X39%
228%
Half Time/Full Time
1-11-XX-1
23%6%13%
2-22-XX-2
20%6%12%
1-2X-X2-1
3%15%3%
1st Score
149%
X8%
243%
Team Goals Over/Under
<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1714183301/mygameodds/teams/fdn7ayqag8k5oadn0ogw.png logo31%69%63%37%
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693040056/mygameodds/teams/xwr9jalprafabonkithg.png logo29%71%61%39%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1714183301/mygameodds/teams/fdn7ayqag8k5oadn0ogw.png logo84%16%94%6%
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693040056/mygameodds/teams/xwr9jalprafabonkithg.png logo84%16%95%5%
Correct Score
1-10-11-01-22-10-00-2
11.5%9.5%8.3%8.3%7.8%7.5%6.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Paris vs Monaco — Prediction Form & Streaks

Paris have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table. Monaco have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table.

Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Monaco well in the Over/Under 2.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.

Full-Time Result

Correct Streak
MonacoMonaco
0 in a row
ParisParis
2 in a row

Both Teams To Score

Correct Streak
MonacoMonaco
1 in a row
ParisParis
0 in a row

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Correct Streak
MonacoMonaco
5 in a row
ParisParis
0 in a row

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Correct Streak
MonacoMonaco
0 in a row
ParisParis
1 in a row

First Half Result

Correct Streak
MonacoMonaco
0 in a row
ParisParis
0 in a row

Correct Score

Correct Streak
MonacoMonaco
0 in a row
ParisParis
0 in a row

Paris & Monaco Teams in Best Form

ParisParis
L
W
W
D
W
MonacoMonaco
D
D
L
W
W

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