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Paris vs Annecy 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Ligue 2 - Season 2022/2023 (Round 38)

Fair result
ParisParis

1–0

AnnecyAnnecy
0.9Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Paris would usually take 1.3 points and Annecy 1.4; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Paris.

Paris +1.7 pts vs chancesAnnecy −1.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Paris vs Annecy stats: how the match was played

Ligue 2

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Paris

Annecy

4

Shots on target

4

2

Big chances

2

1

Corners

5

0

Yellow cards

1

57%

Possession

43%

The match between Paris and Annecy ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Paris win with 52% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Annecy – Montpellier prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Paris vs Annecy — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ligue 2

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Paris to win

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 2,473 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.5% of the time (bookmakers said 55.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 53%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 6,479 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Under 2.5 goals.

Our model 50%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 2,851 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 4,544 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 42%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 6,634 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Paris Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Paris 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,800 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Annecy Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Annecy 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 74%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,370 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Paris vs Annecy 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Paris vs Annecy. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Ligue 2 - France
ParisParis1
AnnecyAnnecy0

Winner

1 52%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

152%
X24%
224%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT26%74%50%50%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT61%39%84%16%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Paris21%79%52%48%
Annecy40%60%74%26%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Paris0%0%0%0%
Annecy0%0%0%0%

1st Half

140%
X42%
219%

1st Score

159%
X7%
234%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

35%

X-1

19%

X-X

15%

2-2

10%

X-2

8%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

2-1

4%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-1

11.5%

1-0

11.5%

2-1

9.5%

2-0

8.9%

0-1

7.2%

0-0

7.1%

1-2

5.9%

3-1

5.4%

2-2

5.1%

3-0

4.7%

0-2

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Annecy – Montpellier prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

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