Grenoble Foot 38 vs Guingamp 0-2 Score & Prediction Review
Ligue 2 - Season 2022/2023 (Round 38)
Grenoble Foot 380–2
GuingampOn these chances Grenoble Foot 38 would usually take 1.4 points and Guingamp 1.3; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Guingamp.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Grenoble Foot 38 vs Guingamp stats: how the match was played
Ligue 2
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Grenoble Foot 38
Guingamp
5
Shots on target
5
1
Big chances
3
5
Corners
1
2
Yellow cards
1
58%
Possession
42%
Grenoble Foot 38 vs Guingamp — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ligue 2
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Grenoble Foot 38 to win
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Guingamp to win.
Our track record
In 1,514 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.
Our track record
In 536 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.7% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 101 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.2% than to our 60–65%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,701 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.7% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 4,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.4% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Our model’s pick
Grenoble Foot 38 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,663 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
Guingamp 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,370 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Grenoble Foot 38 vs Guingamp 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Grenoble Foot 38 vs Guingamp. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Grenoble Foot 380
Guingamp2Winner
12 71%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Grenoble Foot 380Guingamp2Winner
12 71%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 71%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 36% | 65% | 62% | 38% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 71% | 29% | 91% | 9% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33% | 67% | 68% | 32% |
| 37% | 63% | 73% | 27% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
22%
X-X
21%
2-2
16%
X-1
14%
X-2
12%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.4%
1-0
12.9%
0-1
11.4%
0-0
11.2%
2-1
7.8%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
4.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score