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Nîmes vs Sochaux 3-1 Score & Prediction Review

Ligue 2 - Season 2022/2023 (Round 38)

Fair result
NîmesNîmes

3–1

SochauxSochaux
1.6Chances (xG)1.5

On these chances Nîmes would usually take 1.5 points and Sochaux 1.3; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Nîmes.

Nîmes +1.6 pts vs chancesSochaux −1.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Nîmes vs Sochaux stats: how the match was played

Ligue 2

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Nîmes

Sochaux

5

Shots on target

6

1

Big chances

1

3

Corners

5

3

Yellow cards

2

59%

Possession

41%

The match between Nîmes and Sochaux ended 3-1. Our AI model predicted an Sochaux win at 43% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Reims – Sochaux prediction & betting tips (Nov 2, 2026).

Nîmes vs Sochaux — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ligue 2

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sochaux to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Nîmes to win.

Our model 43%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 1,067 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 5,302 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 65%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,966 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 42%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 6,634 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Nîmes Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Nîmes 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 63%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 3,456 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Sochaux Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sochaux 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 1,023 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.8% of the time (bookmakers said 59.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Nîmes vs Sochaux 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Nîmes vs Sochaux. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Ligue 2 - France
NîmesNîmes3
SochauxSochaux1

Winner

X2 68%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Full Time

132%
X25%
243%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT21%79%43%57%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT55%45%80%20%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Nîmes31%69%63%37%
Sochaux24%76%55%45%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Nîmes0%0%0%0%
Sochaux0%0%0%0%

1st Half

122%
X42%
236%

1st Score

139%
X6%
255%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

26%

X-X

17%

X-2

16%

1-1

14%

X-1

10%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.3%

1-2

8.8%

0-1

8.3%

2-1

7.7%

1-0

7.0%

0-2

6.5%

2-2

6.3%

0-0

5.5%

1-3

4.7%

2-0

4.7%

3-1

3.4%

0-3

3.4%

2-3

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Reims – Sochaux prediction & betting tips (Nov 2, 2026).

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