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  4. Le Havre vs Dijon

Le Havre vs Dijon 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Ligue 2 - Season 2022/2023 (Round 38)

Fair result
Le HavreLe Havre

1–0

DijonDijon
0.7Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Le Havre would usually take 1.3 points and Dijon 1.3; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Le Havre.

Le Havre +1.7 pts vs chancesDijon −1.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Le Havre vs Dijon stats: how the match was played

Ligue 2

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Le Havre had clearly more shots on target

Le Havre

Dijon

3

Shots on target

2

1

Big chances

0

2

Corners

5

3

Yellow cards

1

36%

Possession

64%

The match between Le Havre and Dijon ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Le Havre win with 48% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Grenoble Foot 38 – Dijon prediction & betting tips (Oct 30, 2026).

Le Havre vs Dijon — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ligue 2

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Le Havre to win

Correct
Our model 48%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 3,506 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.4% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 1,163 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 84%Bookmakers 83%

Our track record

In 1,701 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.7% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 48%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 4,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.4% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Le Havre Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Le Havre 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,456 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Dijon Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Dijon 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 82%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 1,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.0% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Le Havre vs Dijon 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Le Havre vs Dijon. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Ligue 2 - France
Le HavreLe Havre1
DijonDijon0

Winner

1X 78%

BTTS*

No 60%

Correct Score

1-0 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 65%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 74%

Full Time

148%
X30%
222%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT39%61%65%35%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT74%26%92%8%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Le Havre29%71%64%36%
Dijon47%53%82%18%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Le Havre0%0%0%0%
Dijon0%0%0%0%

1st Half

133%
X48%
219%

1st Score

150%
X13%
237%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

X-X

21%

X-1

17%

2-2

12%

X-2

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

2%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

16.4%

0-0

13.0%

1-1

12.8%

2-0

10.2%

0-1

9.7%

2-1

8.3%

1-2

5.0%

3-0

4.0%

0-2

3.9%

2-2

3.4%

3-1

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Grenoble Foot 38 – Dijon prediction & betting tips (Oct 30, 2026).

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