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Rodez vs Laval 3-1 Score & Prediction Review

Ligue 2 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 1)

Fair result
RodezRodez

3–1

LavalLaval
2.6Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances Rodez would usually take 2.6 points and Laval 0.3; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Rodez.

Rodez +0.4 pts vs chancesLaval −0.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Rodez vs Laval stats: how the match was played

Ligue 2

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Rodez had more than twice the shots on target

Rodez

Laval

10

Shots on target

1

6

Big chances

1

8

Corners

4

1

Yellow cards

1

0

Red cards

1

42%

Possession

58%

The match between Rodez and Laval ended 3-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Rodez win with 48% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rodez – Montpellier prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

Rodez vs Laval — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ligue 2

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rodez to win

Correct
Our model 48%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 77%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 47%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Rodez Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rodez 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Laval Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Laval 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 77%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Rodez vs Laval 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Rodez vs Laval. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Ligue 2 - France
RodezRodez3
LavalLaval1

Winner

1X 76%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Full Time

148%
X28%
224%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT31%69%57%43%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT67%33%88%12%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Rodez24%76%58%42%
Laval42%58%77%23%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Rodez83%17%94%6%
Laval93%7%98%2%

1st Half

133%
X47%
221%

1st Score

154%
X9%
236%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

X-1

18%

X-X

18%

2-2

13%

X-2

9%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

13.4%

1-1

12.9%

0-0

9.3%

2-1

9.3%

2-0

9.2%

0-1

8.1%

1-2

5.7%

2-2

4.5%

3-0

4.3%

3-1

4.2%

0-2

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rodez – Montpellier prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

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