1. Grenoble Foot 38 vs Metz

Grenoble Foot 38 vs Metz 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

Ligue 2 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 2)

Fair result
Grenoble Foot 38Grenoble Foot 38

0–0

MetzMetz
0.8Chances (xG)0.8

On these chances Grenoble Foot 38 would usually take 1.4 points and Metz 1.3; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Metz.

Grenoble Foot 38 −0.4 pts vs chancesMetz −0.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Grenoble Foot 38 vs Metz stats: how the match was played

Ligue 2

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Grenoble Foot 38 had more than twice the shots on target

Grenoble Foot 38

Metz

2

Shots on target

1

1

Big chances

1

1

Corners

5

2

Yellow cards

2

41%

Possession

59%

The match between Grenoble Foot 38 and Metz ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted a Grenoble Foot 38 win at 42% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Pau – Grenoble Foot 38 prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

Grenoble Foot 38 vs Metz — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ligue 2

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Grenoble Foot 38 to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Metz to win.

Our model 42%Bookmakers 29%

Our track record

In 1,064 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 78%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 45%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Grenoble Foot 38 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Grenoble Foot 38 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Metz Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Metz 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 74%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Grenoble Foot 38 vs Metz 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Grenoble Foot 38 vs Metz. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Grenoble Foot 38Grenoble Foot 380
MetzMetz0

Winner

1X 72%

BTTS*

No 54%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

Full Time

142%
X29%
228%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT34%66%58%42%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT68%32%88%12%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Grenoble Foot 3830%70%63%37%
Metz41%59%74%26%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Grenoble Foot 3885%15%94%6%
Metz91%9%98%2%

1st Half

131%
X45%
224%

1st Score

151%
X12%
238%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

25%

X-X

18%

X-1

16%

2-2

15%

X-2

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

12.8%

1-1

12.1%

0-0

11.5%

0-1

9.8%

2-1

8.0%

2-0

7.5%

1-2

6.3%

2-2

4.6%

0-2

4.6%

3-1

3.5%

3-0

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Pau – Grenoble Foot 38 prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

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