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Pau vs Laval

Pau vs Laval 3-2 Score & Prediction Review

Ligue 2 - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)

Fair result

Pau

3–2

Laval

1.8Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Pau would usually take 1.8 points and Laval 1.0; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Pau.

Pau +1.2 pts vs chancesLaval −1.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Pau vs Laval stats: how the match was played

Ligue 2

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Pau had clearly more shots on target

Pau

Laval

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

43%

Possession

57%

The match between Pau and Laval ended 3-2. Our AI model correctly predicted a Pau win with 46% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Pau – Grenoble Foot 38 prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

Pau vs Laval — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Ligue 2

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Pau to win

Correct

Our model 46%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,511 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.2% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 57%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,327 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 78%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,678 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 44%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,717 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Pau Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Pau 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 60%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,476 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Laval Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Laval 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 76%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 2,601 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Pau vs Laval 3-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Pau vs Laval. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Ligue 2 - France

Pau3

Laval2

Winner

1X 75%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

· FT

Ligue 2 - France

Pau3

Laval2

Winner

1X 75%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

Full Time

146%

X28%

225%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	31%	69%	57%	43%	68%	32%	89%	11%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	31%	69%	57%	43%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	68%	32%	89%	11%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	25%	75%	60%	40%	84%	16%	95%	5%
	40%	60%	76%	24%	93%	7%	98%	2%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	25%	75%	60%	40%
	40%	60%	76%	24%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	84%	16%	95%	5%
	93%	7%	98%	2%

1st Half

136%

X43%

221%

1st Score

156%

X9%

234%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

27%

X-X

18%

X-1

16%

2-2

12%

X-2

10%

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

13.3%

1-0

12.9%

0-0

9.5%

2-1

9.3%

2-0

8.8%

0-1

8.7%

1-2

6.3%

2-2

4.8%

3-0

4.1%

3-1

4.0%

0-2

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Pau vs Laval — Recent Form

Pau have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table. Laval have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 18th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Pau

Laval

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Pau

3/5

Laval

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Pau

1/5

Laval

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Pau

4/5

Laval

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Pau

4/5

Laval

2/5

First Half Result

Pau

3/5

Laval

2/5

Correct Score

Pau

1/5

Laval

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Pau – Grenoble Foot 38 prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).