Brick wall
6/10Nashville SC kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 20%).
- Home
- Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union
Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Major League Soccer - Season 2026
Riding their luck
Philadelphia Union are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+4points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union score prediction
Major League Soccer
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
3.1 goals in total, a little under the Major League Soccer average of 3.3.
goals expected
Nashville SC1.8
Philadelphia Union1.4Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →The match Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union will be played on Thursday, October 29 as part of the 2026 season. This fixture will be played in the of the Major League Soccer, played in USA. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.
Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Nashville SC–
Philadelphia Union–Winner
1 59%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Nashville SC–Philadelphia Union–Winner
1 59%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Full Time
159%
X22%
219%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 17% | 83% | 38% | 62% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 51% | 49% | 75% | 25% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14% | 86% | 40% | 60% |
| 43% | 57% | 74% | 26% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67% | 33% | 85% | 15% |
| 91% | 9% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
146%
X35%
219%
1st Score
163%
X4%
233%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
37%
X-1
19%
X-X
11%
2-2
10%
X-2
6%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
2-1
10.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-0
8.7%
1-0
8.6%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
0-1
4.4%
0-0
4.3%
3-2
3.9%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union: the stats that stand out
Major League Soccer
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Nashville SC: brick wall, hard to break and banker as favourites
6/10Hard to break
0/10Nashville SC haven't conceded first in any of their last 10 (league 48%).
Banker as favourites
7/9Nashville SC won 7 of 9 as favourites (league 51%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union: attack vs defence
Major League Soccer
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Major League Soccer teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Nashville SC: good attack, good defence (1.84 xG, 1.19 xGA a game)
- Philadelphia Union: good attack, good defence (2.12 xG, 0.99 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union form and luck check
Major League Soccer
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Major League Soccer gamesPhiladelphia Union are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- Nashville SC+3.8
- Philadelphia UnionClinical · +6 goals+4.0
Last 5 matches
Nashville SCD
W
W
W
W
Philadelphia UnionD
W
W
W
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: Nashville SC 4th of 30 · Philadelphia Union 2nd of 30
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 30 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Major League Soccer
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Major League Soccer gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Nashville SC games less often than the Major League Soccer average (64%), in Philadelphia Union games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 65%
Nashville SC7 of 10
Philadelphia Union8 of 10
BTTSleague 64%
Nashville SC4 of 10
Philadelphia Union7 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 490 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union corners, cards and goal times
Major League Soccer
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameNashville SC score late
Nashville SC
Philadelphia Union
6.5
Corners won · league 5.0
5.9
3.5
Corners conceded · league 5.0
3.9
1.6
Cards · league 2.1
2.1
1.2
Opponents' cards · league 2.1
2.7
46%
Goals before half-time · league 46%
29%
46%
Goals after 75' · league 24%
13%
14%
Conceded before half-time · league 46%
45%
29%
Conceded after 75' · league 24%
27%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Philadelphia Union3/5
Nashville SC3/5
Both Teams to Score
Philadelphia Union4/5
Nashville SC4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Philadelphia Union5/5
Nashville SC2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Philadelphia Union1/5
Nashville SC3/5
First Half Result
Philadelphia Union3/5
Nashville SC2/5
Correct Score
Philadelphia Union0/5
Nashville SC1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction