1. Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego

Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Major League Soccer - Season 2026

Unlucky

San Diego are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring

−6points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10

83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games. Vancouver Whitecaps are also behind their chances: about −5 points.

Bookmakers: San Diego 17% to winVancouver Whitecaps 66%

Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego score prediction

Major League Soccer

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Vancouver Whitecaps expected to score more than twice as many as San Diego

3.5 goals in total, a little over the Major League Soccer average of 3.3.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Major League Soccer

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Vancouver Whitecaps to win

Our model 57%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,805 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 62%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 66%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 1,162 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 57%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 261 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.1% than to our 55–60%.

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Vancouver Whitecaps ahead at half-time

Our model 55%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 1,252 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.0% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).

Vancouver Whitecaps Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Vancouver Whitecaps 2+ goals

Our model 59%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 3,469 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

San Diego Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

San Diego 0–1 goals

Our model 69%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,291 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps–
San DiegoSan Diego–

Winner

1 57%

BTTS*

Yes 62%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 65%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 53%

Full Time

157%
X20%
223%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT15%85%35%65%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT47%53%72%28%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Vancouver Whitecaps16%84%41%59%
San Diego40%60%69%31%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Vancouver Whitecaps66%34%84%16%
San Diego88%12%96%4%

1st Half

155%
X31%
214%

1st Score

170%
X4%
227%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

47%

X-1

19%

X-X

9%

2-2

7%

1-X

4%

X-2

4%

2-1

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

2-1

9.7%

1-1

8.9%

1-0

7.5%

2-0

7.4%

3-1

6.6%

2-2

5.8%

1-2

5.8%

3-0

5.4%

3-2

4.5%

0-1

4.3%

0-0

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego: the stats that stand out

Major League Soccer

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

San Diego: leaky

Leaky
San Diego0/10

San Diego kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 21%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego: attack vs defence

Major League Soccer

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Major League Soccer teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps: good attack, good defence (1.61 xG, 1.33 xGA a game)
  • San DiegoSan Diego: good attack, weak defence (1.66 xG, 1.70 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego form and luck check

Major League Soccer

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Major League Soccer games

Both sides are getting less than their chances usually bring

  • Vancouver Whitecaps
    Vancouver WhitecapsBookmakers: 66% to win today.Wasteful · −4 goals
    −5.3
  • San Diego
    San DiegoBookmakers: 17% to win today.
    −5.6

Last 5 matches

Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
L
W
D
D
L
1st in table
San DiegoSan Diego
D
D
D
L
D
12th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Vancouver Whitecaps 1st of 30 · San Diego 12th of 30

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 30 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Major League Soccer

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Major League Soccer gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Vancouver Whitecaps and San Diego games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the Major League Soccer average (64%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 64%
Vancouver Whitecaps7 of 10
San Diego9 of 10
BTTSleague 64%
Vancouver Whitecaps6 of 10
San Diego8 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 488 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego corners, cards and goal times

Major League Soccer

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro
  • Corners won: league 5.0
  • Cards: league 2.1
  • Goals before half-time: league 46%
  • Goals after 75': league 23%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
2/5
San DiegoSan Diego
0/5

Both Teams to Score

Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
3/5
San DiegoSan Diego
5/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
2/5
San DiegoSan Diego
5/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
4/5
San DiegoSan Diego
0/5

First Half Result

Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
2/5
San DiegoSan Diego
2/5

Correct Score

Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
1/5
San DiegoSan Diego
0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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