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New England vs Houston Dynamo

New England vs Houston Dynamo 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Major League Soccer - Season 2026

Fair result

New England

0–2

Houston Dynamo

0.7Chances (xG)1.3

On these chances New England would usually take 0.9 points and Houston Dynamo 1.9; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: New England.

New England −0.9 pts vs chancesHouston Dynamo +1.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

New England vs Houston Dynamo stats: how the match was played

Major League Soccer

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Houston Dynamo had more than twice the shots on target

New England

Houston Dynamo

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

47%

Possession

53%

The match between New England and Houston Dynamo ended 0-2. Our AI model predicted a New England win at 42% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Houston Dynamo – Minnesota United prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

New England vs Houston Dynamo — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Major League Soccer

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

New England to win

Wrong

Our model 42%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 62%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 60%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 62%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 40%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

New England Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

New England 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 53%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

Houston Dynamo Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Houston Dynamo 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 61%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,695 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

New England vs Houston Dynamo 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for New England vs Houston Dynamo. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Major League Soccer - USA

New England0

Houston Dynamo2

Winner

1X 67%

BTTS*

Yes 62%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

· FT

Major League Soccer - USA

New England0

Houston Dynamo2

Winner

1X 67%

BTTS*

Yes 62%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Full Time

142%

X25%

233%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	19%	81%	40%	60%	52%	48%	78%	22%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	19%	81%	40%	60%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	52%	48%	78%	22%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	23%	77%	53%	47%	78%	22%	92%	8%
	30%	70%	61%	39%	83%	17%	94%	6%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	23%	77%	53%	47%
	30%	70%	61%	39%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	78%	22%	92%	8%
	83%	17%	94%	6%

1st Half

135%

X40%

225%

1st Score

154%

X5%

241%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

2-2

17%

X-1

15%

X-X

15%

X-2

11%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

11.0%

2-1

9.0%

1-2

7.6%

1-0

7.5%

2-2

6.9%

0-1

6.3%

2-0

6.0%

0-0

5.0%

3-1

4.9%

0-2

4.4%

1-3

3.7%

3-2

3.5%

3-0

3.4%

2-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Houston Dynamo – Minnesota United prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).