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Columbus Crew vs Colorado Rapids 3-0 Score & Prediction Review

Major League Soccer - Season 2026

Fair result
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew

3–0

Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
1.7Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Columbus Crew would usually take 1.9 points and Colorado Rapids 0.9; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Columbus Crew.

Columbus Crew +1.1 pts vs chancesColorado Rapids −0.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Columbus Crew vs Colorado Rapids stats: how the match was played

Major League Soccer

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Columbus Crew had more than twice the shots on target

Columbus Crew

Colorado Rapids

6

Shots on target

2

3

Big chances

1

1

Corners

3

4

Yellow cards

0

54%

Possession

46%

The match between Columbus Crew and Colorado Rapids ended 3-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Columbus Crew win with 60% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Cincinnati – Columbus Crew prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Columbus Crew vs Colorado Rapids — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Major League Soccer

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Columbus Crew to win

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 1,062 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Columbus Crew ahead at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.

Our model 50%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 531 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.9% than to our 45–50%.

Columbus Crew Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Columbus Crew 2+ goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Columbus Crew 0–1 goals.

Our model 59%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 1,027 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.1% than to our 55–60%.

Colorado Rapids Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Colorado Rapids 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Columbus Crew vs Colorado Rapids 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Columbus Crew vs Colorado Rapids. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Major League Soccer - USA
Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3
Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids0

Winner

1 60%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

Full Time

160%
X21%
218%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT19%81%40%60%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT54%46%78%22%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Columbus Crew15%85%41%59%
Colorado Rapids45%55%76%24%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Columbus Crew68%32%86%14%
Colorado Rapids92%8%98%2%

1st Half

150%
X33%
217%

1st Score

166%
X5%
229%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

40%

X-1

18%

X-X

12%

2-2

9%

X-2

6%

1-X

5%

2-1

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

2-1

10.3%

1-0

9.8%

1-1

9.6%

2-0

9.3%

3-0

6.9%

3-1

6.5%

1-2

5.4%

2-2

5.3%

0-0

4.9%

0-1

4.6%

3-2

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Cincinnati – Columbus Crew prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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