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San Diego vs Philadelphia Union 0-5 Score & Prediction Review

Major League Soccer - Season 2026

Fair result
San DiegoSan Diego

0–5

Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union
1.2Chances (xG)2.0

On these chances San Diego would usually take 0.9 points and Philadelphia Union 1.9; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Philadelphia Union.

San Diego −0.9 pts vs chancesPhiladelphia Union +1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

San Diego vs Philadelphia Union stats: how the match was played

Major League Soccer

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

San Diego

Philadelphia Union

5

Shots on target

5

2

Big chances

5

11

Corners

4

2

Yellow cards

2

58%

Possession

42%

The match between San Diego and Philadelphia Union ended 0-5. Our AI model predicted a San Diego win at 44% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: San Diego – Seattle Sounders prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

San Diego vs Philadelphia Union — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Major League Soccer

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

San Diego to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Philadelphia Union to win.

Our model 44%Bookmakers 32%

Our track record

In 1,064 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 67%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 406 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.1% of the time (bookmakers said 65.2%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 67%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 39%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 2,043 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

San Diego Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

San Diego 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 52%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

Philadelphia Union Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Philadelphia Union 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Philadelphia Union 2+ goals.

Our model 58%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 632 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.7% than to our 55–60%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

San Diego vs Philadelphia Union 0-5 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for San Diego vs Philadelphia Union. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Major League Soccer - USA
San DiegoSan Diego0
Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union5

Winner

1X 67%

BTTS*

Yes 67%

Correct Score

1-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 67%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 54%

Full Time

144%
X23%
233%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT14%86%33%67%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT46%54%72%28%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
San Diego21%79%48%52%
Philadelphia Union29%71%58%42%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
San Diego74%26%89%11%
Philadelphia Union81%19%93%7%

1st Half

134%
X39%
228%

1st Score

155%
X4%
241%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

2-2

17%

X-1

16%

X-X

13%

X-2

9%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

9.3%

2-1

9.0%

1-2

7.9%

2-2

7.5%

1-0

5.8%

2-0

5.5%

3-1

5.2%

0-1

4.8%

3-2

4.1%

0-0

3.8%

1-3

3.8%

2-3

3.7%

3-0

3.6%

0-2

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: San Diego – Seattle Sounders prediction & betting tips (Oct 25, 2026).

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