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Real Salt Lake vs New England 3-0 Score & Prediction Review
Major League Soccer - Season 2026
Real Salt Lake3–0
New EnglandOn these chances Real Salt Lake would usually take 1.2 points and New England 1.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Real Salt Lake.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Real Salt Lake vs New England stats: how the match was played
Major League Soccer
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Real Salt Lake had clearly more shots on target
Real Salt Lake
New England
6
Shots on target
4
5
Big chances
2
1
Corners
11
2
Yellow cards
2
34%
Possession
66%
Real Salt Lake vs New England — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Major League Soccer
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Real Salt Lake to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,629 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 406 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.1% of the time (bookmakers said 65.2%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 2,043 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
Real Salt Lake 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,828 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.3% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Our model’s pick
New England 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Real Salt Lake vs New England 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Real Salt Lake vs New England. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Real Salt Lake3
New England0Winner
1X 64%
BTTS*
Yes 67%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Real Salt Lake3New England0Winner
1X 64%
BTTS*
Yes 67%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 15% | 85% | 33% | 67% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 46% | 54% | 72% | 28% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23% | 77% | 51% | 49% |
| 27% | 73% | 55% | 45% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76% | 24% | 90% | 10% |
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
25%
2-2
18%
X-1
13%
X-X
13%
X-2
11%
2-X
7%
1-X
6%
1-2
4%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
7.4%
1-0
6.1%
0-1
5.3%
3-1
5.0%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.2%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
4.0%
2-3
3.9%
0-0
3.5%
3-0
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Real Salt Lake vs New England — Recent Form
New England have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table. Real Salt Lake have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table.
Last 5 matches
New EnglandReal Salt LakeOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
New EnglandReal Salt LakeBoth Teams to Score
New EnglandReal Salt LakeOver/Under 2.5 Goals
New EnglandReal Salt LakeOver/Under 3.5 Goals
New EnglandReal Salt LakeFirst Half Result
New EnglandReal Salt LakeCorrect Score
New EnglandReal Salt Lake