Leaky
0/10Portland Timbers kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 21%).
LA Galaxy vs Portland Timbers Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Major League Soccer - Season 2026
Riding their luck
LA Galaxy are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+5points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: LA Galaxy 51% to winPortland Timbers 26%
LA Galaxy vs Portland Timbers score prediction
Major League Soccer
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
3.5 goals in total, a little over the Major League Soccer average of 3.2.
goals expected
LA Galaxy2.0Portland Timbers1.5Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for LA Galaxy vs Portland Timbers: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
LA Galaxy vs Portland Timbers — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Major League Soccer
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
LA Galaxy to win
Our model 54%Bookmakers 51%
Our track record
In 2,448 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.7% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 55%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 5,557 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 56%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 5,206 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 66%Bookmakers 52%
Our track record
In 3,883 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
LA Galaxy ahead at half-time
Our model 40%Bookmakers 41%
Our track record
In 1,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.4% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
LA Galaxy Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
LA Galaxy 2+ goals
Our model 52%Bookmakers 62%
Our track record
In 2,748 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.3% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Portland Timbers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Portland Timbers 0–1 goals
Our model 73%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 3,303 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
LA Galaxy vs Portland Timbers — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for LA Galaxy vs Portland Timbers. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
LA Galaxy–
Portland Timbers–Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
LA Galaxy–Portland Timbers–Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Full Time
154%
X24%
223%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 56% | 44% | 79% | 21% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19% | 81% | 48% | 52% |
| 41% | 59% | 73% | 27% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74% | 26% | 89% | 11% |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
140%
X38%
223%
1st Score
159%
X6%
235%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
32%
X-1
16%
2-2
13%
X-X
12%
X-2
9%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
2-1
4%
1-2
3%
Correct Score
1-0
10.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
6.4%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-0
4.9%
3-2
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
LA Galaxy vs Portland Timbers: the stats that stand out
Major League Soccer
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Portland Timbers: leaky and always chasing
0/10Always chasing
7/10Portland Timbers conceded first in 7 of their last 10 (league 48%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →LA Galaxy vs Portland Timbers: attack vs defence
Major League Soccer
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Major League Soccer teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- LA Galaxy: weak attack, weak defence (1.49 xG, 2.09 xGA a game)
- Portland Timbers: good attack, weak defence (1.54 xG, 1.56 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →LA Galaxy vs Portland Timbers form and luck check
Major League Soccer
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Major League Soccer gamesLA Galaxy are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- LA GalaxyBookmakers: 51% to win today.Wasteful · −3 goals+5.2
- Portland TimbersBookmakers: 26% to win today.−2.9
Last 5 matches
LA GalaxyW
W
D
L
W
Portland TimbersL
L
L
D
W
W
D
L
Strength rank: LA Galaxy 23rd of 30 · Portland Timbers 21st of 30
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 30 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →LA Galaxy vs Portland Timbers: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Major League Soccer
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Major League Soccer gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Portland Timbers games more often than the Major League Soccer average (63%), in LA Galaxy games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 64%
LA Galaxy6 of 10
Portland Timbers8 of 10
BTTSleague 63%
LA Galaxy6 of 10
Portland Timbers9 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 455 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →LA Galaxy vs Portland Timbers corners, cards and goal times
Major League Soccer
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePortland Timbers score late
LA Galaxy
Portland Timbers
5.2
Corners won · league 5.0
4.6
5.2
Corners conceded · league 5.0
4.7
1.8
Cards · league 2.1
1.5
2.8
Opponents' cards · league 2.1
2.3
38%
Goals before half-time · league 46%
41%
23%
Goals after 75' · league 24%
35%
53%
Conceded before half-time · league 46%
68%
27%
Conceded after 75' · league 24%
21%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
LA Galaxy3/5
Portland Timbers3/5
Both Teams to Score
LA Galaxy4/5
Portland Timbers4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
LA Galaxy4/5
Portland Timbers4/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
LA Galaxy3/5
Portland Timbers2/5
First Half Result
LA Galaxy2/5
Portland Timbers2/5
Correct Score
LA Galaxy1/5
Portland Timbers0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction