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Arsenal vs Burnley 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 37)

The match between Arsenal and Burnley ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Arsenal win with 75% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Arsenal vs Burnley — Premier League Prediction Accuracy

Season 2025/2026 · Round 37 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

ArsenalArsenal
73.7%(28/38)

+61.3% Strongly above implied probability

BurnleyBurnley
57.9%(22/38)

+26.7% Strongly above implied probability

45.7% Implied Probability

Both Teams To Score

ArsenalArsenal
60.5%(23/38)

+10.8% Strongly above implied probability

BurnleyBurnley
76.3%(29/38)

+39.7% Strongly above implied probability

54.6% Implied Probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

ArsenalArsenal
42.1%(16/38)

-22.6% Below implied probability

BurnleyBurnley
71.1%(27/38)

+30.7% Strongly above implied probability

54.4% Implied Probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

ArsenalArsenal
76.3%(29/38)

+27% Strongly above implied probability

BurnleyBurnley
60.5%(23/38)

+0.7% Above implied probability

60.1% Implied Probability

First Half Result

ArsenalArsenal
44.7%(17/38)

+15.8% Strongly above implied probability

BurnleyBurnley
55.3%(21/38)

+43.3% Strongly above implied probability

38.6% Implied Probability

Correct Score

ArsenalArsenal
21.1%(8/38)
BurnleyBurnley
15.8%(6/38)

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Arsenal and Burnley across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

Full-Time Result predictions for Arsenal hit at 74% accuracy — that's 61.3% above the bookmaker baseline of 45.7%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Arsenal sit 22.6% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Arsenal vs Burnley 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Arsenal vs Burnley. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

Full Time
175%
X17%
28%
Goals Over/Under
<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT24%76%47%53%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
58%42%77%23%
1st Half
159%
X31%
210%
Half Time/Full Time
1-11-XX-1
56%3%19%
2-22-XX-2
4%3%3%
1-2X-X2-1
1%8%4%
1st Score
177%
X6%
216%
Team Goals Over/Under
<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693036351/mygameodds/teams/dpiei5nmy2etxhy4ts3q.png logo11%89%35%65%
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693036356/mygameodds/teams/cxz6w0ce6wi4icj8crwk.png logo65%35%90%10%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693036351/mygameodds/teams/dpiei5nmy2etxhy4ts3q.png logo62%38%81%19%
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693036356/mygameodds/teams/cxz6w0ce6wi4icj8crwk.png logo98%2%100%0%
Correct Score
2-01-03-02-11-10-03-1
14.8%13.8%10.3%8.7%7.5%6.3%6.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Arsenal vs Burnley — Prediction Form & Streaks

Arsenal have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1th in the table. Burnley have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 19th in the table.

Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Arsenal well in the Full-Time Result market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.

Full-Time Result

Correct Streak
ArsenalArsenal
5 in a row
BurnleyBurnley
0 in a row

Both Teams To Score

Correct Streak
ArsenalArsenal
0 in a row
BurnleyBurnley
5 in a row

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Correct Streak
ArsenalArsenal
0 in a row
BurnleyBurnley
1 in a row

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Correct Streak
ArsenalArsenal
5 in a row
BurnleyBurnley
2 in a row

First Half Result

Correct Streak
ArsenalArsenal
0 in a row
BurnleyBurnley
0 in a row

Correct Score

Correct Streak
ArsenalArsenal
0 in a row
BurnleyBurnley
1 in a row

Arsenal & Burnley Teams in Best Form

ArsenalArsenal
W
W
W
W
W
BurnleyBurnley
D
L
D
L
L

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