2. Leagues
  3. Premier League
  4. CSKA Moskva vs Rostov

CSKA Moskva vs Rostov 4-1 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2022/2023 (Round 30)

Fair result
CSKA MoskvaCSKA Moskva

4–1

RostovRostov
2.7Chances (xG)0.5

On these chances CSKA Moskva would usually take 2.6 points and Rostov 0.3; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: CSKA Moskva.

CSKA Moskva +0.4 pts vs chancesRostov −0.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

CSKA Moskva vs Rostov stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

CSKA Moskva had more than twice the shots on target

CSKA Moskva

Rostov

7

Shots on target

1

4

Big chances

0

0

Yellow cards

2

48%

Possession

52%

The match between CSKA Moskva and Rostov ended 4-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a CSKA Moskva win with 67% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Orenburg – CSKA Moskva prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

CSKA Moskva vs Rostov — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

CSKA Moskva to win

Correct
Our model 67%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 613 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.3% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 3,096 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,147 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 69%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,965 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

CSKA Moskva ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 1,254 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 53.9% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).

CSKA Moskva Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

CSKA Moskva 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,462 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Rostov Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rostov 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 85%Bookmakers 78%

Our track record

In 600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.3% of the time (bookmakers said 85.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

CSKA Moskva vs Rostov 4-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for CSKA Moskva vs Rostov. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Premier League - Russia
CSKA MoskvaCSKA Moskva4
RostovRostov1

Winner

1 67%

BTTS*

No 54%

Correct Score

2-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

Full Time

167%
X20%
213%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%46%54%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT59%41%80%20%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
CSKA Moskva14%86%40%60%
Rostov55%45%85%15%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
CSKA Moskva0%0%0%0%
Rostov0%0%0%0%

1st Half

154%
X35%
211%

1st Score

172%
X6%
222%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

50%

X-1

20%

X-X

9%

2-2

5%

1-X

4%

2-1

4%

X-2

3%

2-X

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

2-0

12.5%

1-0

12.5%

2-1

9.8%

1-1

9.2%

3-0

8.4%

0-0

6.3%

3-1

6.3%

0-1

4.6%

1-2

3.5%

2-2

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Orenburg – CSKA Moskva prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores