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Lokomotiv Moskva vs Torpedo Moskva

Lokomotiv Moskva vs Torpedo Moskva 3-1 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2022/2023 (Round 30)

Fair result

Lokomotiv Moskva

3–1

Torpedo Moskva

2.2Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances Lokomotiv Moskva would usually take 2.1 points and Torpedo Moskva 0.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Lokomotiv Moskva.

Lokomotiv Moskva +0.9 pts vs chancesTorpedo Moskva −0.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Lokomotiv Moskva vs Torpedo Moskva stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Lokomotiv Moskva had more than twice the shots on target

Lokomotiv Moskva

Torpedo Moskva

Shots on target

Big chances

Yellow cards

56%

Possession

44%

The match between Lokomotiv Moskva and Torpedo Moskva ended 3-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Lokomotiv Moskva win with 65% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Lokomotiv Moskva – Spartak Moskva prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

Lokomotiv Moskva vs Torpedo Moskva — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lokomotiv Moskva to win

Correct

Our model 65%Bookmakers 83%

Our track record

In 1,062 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.9% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Lokomotiv Moskva vs Torpedo Moskva 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Lokomotiv Moskva vs Torpedo Moskva. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Premier League - Russia

Lokomotiv Moskva3

Torpedo Moskva1

Winner

1 65%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

2-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

· FT

Premier League - Russia

Lokomotiv Moskva3

Torpedo Moskva1

Winner

1 65%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

2-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Full Time

165%

X20%

215%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	21%	79%	44%	56%	55%	45%	78%	22%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	21%	79%	44%	56%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	55%	45%	78%	22%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	14%	86%	39%	61%	0%	0%	0%	0%
	51%	49%	81%	19%	0%	0%	0%	0%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	14%	86%	39%	61%
	51%	49%	81%	19%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	0%	0%	0%	0%
	0%	0%	0%	0%

1st Half

153%

X33%

214%

1st Score

170%

X5%

224%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

47%

X-1

18%

X-X

10%

2-2

1-X

X-2

2-1

2-X

1-2

Correct Score

2-0

11.2%

1-0

10.9%

2-1

9.8%

1-1

9.3%

3-0

7.6%

3-1

6.8%

0-0

5.2%

0-1

4.5%

2-2

4.3%

1-2

4.2%

3-2

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Lokomotiv Moskva – Spartak Moskva prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).