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Akhmat Grozny vs Krasnodar 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2022/2023 (Round 30)

Fair result
Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny

2–2

KrasnodarKrasnodar
0.8Chances (xG)0.5

On these chances Akhmat Grozny would usually take 1.6 points and Krasnodar 1.0; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Akhmat Grozny.

Akhmat Grozny −0.6 pts vs chancesKrasnodar 0.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Akhmat Grozny vs Krasnodar stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Akhmat Grozny had clearly more shots on target

Akhmat Grozny

Krasnodar

3

Shots on target

2

1

Big chances

1

5

Yellow cards

3

30%

Possession

70%

The match between Akhmat Grozny and Krasnodar ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted a Akhmat Grozny win at 46% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Dinamo Moskva – Akhmat Grozny prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Akhmat Grozny vs Krasnodar — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Akhmat Grozny to win

Wrong
Our model 46%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 3,493 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,474 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,299 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 64%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,398 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 40%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

In 6,631 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Akhmat Grozny Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Akhmat Grozny 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 53%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 2,797 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Krasnodar Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Krasnodar 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 64%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,643 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Akhmat Grozny vs Krasnodar 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Akhmat Grozny vs Krasnodar. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Premier League - Russia
Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny2
KrasnodarKrasnodar2

Winner

1X 70%

BTTS*

Yes 60%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

Full Time

146%
X24%
230%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT20%80%42%58%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT54%46%79%21%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Akhmat Grozny23%77%53%47%
Krasnodar32%68%64%36%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Akhmat Grozny0%0%0%0%
Krasnodar0%0%0%0%

1st Half

133%
X40%
227%

1st Score

150%
X5%
245%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

27%

2-2

17%

X-1

16%

X-X

14%

X-2

10%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

2-1

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

10.9%

2-1

9.0%

1-0

8.3%

1-2

7.3%

2-0

6.8%

0-1

6.5%

2-2

6.3%

0-0

5.1%

3-1

5.0%

0-2

4.7%

3-0

3.7%

3-2

3.6%

1-3

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Dinamo Moskva – Akhmat Grozny prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

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