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Krylya Sovetov vs Makhachkala 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

Premier League - Season 2025/2026 (Round 20)

Fair result
Krylya SovetovKrylya Sovetov

2–0

MakhachkalaMakhachkala
0.8Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Krylya Sovetov would usually take 1.2 points and Makhachkala 1.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Makhachkala.

Krylya Sovetov +1.8 pts vs chancesMakhachkala −1.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Krylya Sovetov vs Makhachkala stats: how the match was played

Premier League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Krylya Sovetov

Makhachkala

4

Shots on target

3

2

Big chances

2

6

Corners

7

1

Yellow cards

1

45%

Possession

55%

The match between Krylya Sovetov and Makhachkala ended 2-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Krylya Sovetov win with 37% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rubin Kazan – Krylya Sovetov prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Krylya Sovetov vs Makhachkala — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premier League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Krylya Sovetov to win

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Makhachkala to win.

Our model 37%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 1,519 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 6,456 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 5,306 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 79%Bookmakers 87%

Our track record

In 3,654 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 47%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 4,243 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Krylya Sovetov Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Krylya Sovetov 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 68%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 2,674 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Makhachkala Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Makhachkala 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 69%Bookmakers 73%

Our track record

In 3,274 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Krylya Sovetov vs Makhachkala 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Krylya Sovetov vs Makhachkala. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Premier League - Russia
Krylya SovetovKrylya Sovetov2
MakhachkalaMakhachkala0

Winner

12 71%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

Full Time

137%
X29%
235%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT33%67%59%41%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT69%31%89%11%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Krylya Sovetov33%67%68%32%
Makhachkala35%65%69%31%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Krylya Sovetov88%12%97%3%
Makhachkala89%11%97%3%

1st Half

126%
X47%
227%

1st Score

144%
X10%
246%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

21%

X-X

20%

1-1

18%

X-2

15%

X-1

13%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

13.1%

1-0

11.4%

0-1

11.1%

0-0

10.3%

2-1

7.6%

1-2

7.5%

2-0

6.7%

0-2

6.3%

2-2

4.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Rubin Kazan – Krylya Sovetov prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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