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Falkirk vs St. Mirren 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Premiership - Season 2026/2027 (Round 1)

Fair result
FalkirkFalkirk

0–2

St. MirrenSt. Mirren
0.6Chances (xG)1.6

On these chances Falkirk would usually take 0.7 points and St. Mirren 2.1; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Falkirk.

Falkirk −0.7 pts vs chancesSt. Mirren +0.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Falkirk vs St. Mirren stats: how the match was played

Premiership

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

St. Mirren had more than twice the shots on target

Falkirk

St. Mirren

1

Shots on target

5

1

Big chances

3

7

Corners

7

0

Yellow cards

4

58%

Possession

43%

The match between Falkirk and St. Mirren ended 0-2. Our AI model predicted a Falkirk win at 41% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: St. Mirren – Hibernian prediction & betting tips (Oct 28, 2026).

Falkirk vs St. Mirren — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premiership

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Falkirk to win

Wrong
Our model 41%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 59%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 69%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 42%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Falkirk Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Falkirk 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

St. Mirren Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

St. Mirren 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 61%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,695 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Falkirk vs St. Mirren 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Falkirk vs St. Mirren. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Premiership - Scotland
FalkirkFalkirk0
St. MirrenSt. Mirren2

Winner

1X 65%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Full Time

141%
X24%
235%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT20%80%43%57%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT55%45%79%21%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Falkirk26%74%57%43%
St. Mirren30%70%61%39%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Falkirk80%20%93%7%
St. Mirren83%17%94%6%

1st Half

129%
X42%
230%

1st Score

148%
X5%
247%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

21%

2-2

21%

X-X

16%

X-1

13%

X-2

13%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

11.3%

2-1

8.5%

1-0

8.1%

1-2

7.8%

0-1

7.0%

2-2

6.0%

2-0

6.0%

0-0

5.3%

0-2

5.2%

3-1

4.6%

1-3

3.7%

3-2

3.4%

3-0

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: St. Mirren – Hibernian prediction & betting tips (Oct 28, 2026).

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