Home
Leagues
Premiership
St. Mirren vs St. Johnstone

St. Mirren vs St. Johnstone 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Premiership - Season 2026/2027 (Round 2)

Fair result

St. Mirren

1–0

St. Johnstone

2.0Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances St. Mirren would usually take 2.0 points and St. Johnstone 0.8; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: St. Mirren.

St. Mirren +1.0 pts vs chancesSt. Johnstone −0.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

St. Mirren vs St. Johnstone stats: how the match was played

Premiership

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

St. Mirren had more than twice the shots on target

St. Mirren

St. Johnstone

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

53%

Possession

47%

The match between St. Mirren and St. Johnstone ended 1-0. Our AI model predicted an St. Johnstone win at 48% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: St. Mirren – Hibernian prediction & betting tips (Oct 28, 2026).

St. Mirren vs St. Johnstone — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premiership

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

St. Johnstone to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: St. Mirren to win.

Our model 48%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 380 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.8% than to our 45–50%.

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 50%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 51%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 71%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

St. Johnstone ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Draw at half-time.

Our model 42%Bookmakers 26%

Our track record

In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

St. Mirren Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

St. Mirren 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 71%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

St. Johnstone Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

St. Johnstone 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 55%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 1,014 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

St. Mirren vs St. Johnstone 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for St. Mirren vs St. Johnstone. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Premiership - Scotland

St. Mirren1

St. Johnstone0

Winner

X2 73%

BTTS*

No 50%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

· FT

Premiership - Scotland

St. Mirren1

St. Johnstone0

Winner

X2 73%

BTTS*

No 50%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

127%

X25%

248%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	25%	75%	49%	51%	61%	39%	83%	17%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	25%	75%	49%	51%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	61%	39%	83%	17%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	39%	61%	71%	29%	89%	11%	97%	3%
	24%	76%	55%	45%	79%	21%	91%	9%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	39%	61%	71%	29%
	24%	76%	55%	45%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	89%	11%	97%	3%
	79%	21%	91%	9%

1st Half

118%

X40%

242%

1st Score

131%

X8%

261%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

36%

X-2

17%

X-X

15%

1-1

12%

X-1

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

11.2%

0-1

10.2%

1-2

8.8%

0-2

8.5%

0-0

7.5%

1-0

7.3%

2-1

6.4%

2-2

5.0%

0-3

4.8%

1-3

4.5%

2-0

4.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: St. Mirren – Hibernian prediction & betting tips (Oct 28, 2026).