2. Leagues
  3. Premiership
  4. Hibernian vs Hearts

Hibernian vs Hearts 1-3 Score & Prediction Review

Premiership - Season 2026/2027 (Round 5)

Fair result
HibernianHibernian

1–3

HeartsHearts
1.5Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances Hibernian would usually take 1.6 points and Hearts 1.1; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Hibernian.

Hibernian −1.6 pts vs chancesHearts +1.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Hibernian vs Hearts stats: how the match was played

Premiership

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Hibernian

Hearts

4

Shots on target

5

1

Big chances

1

7

Corners

8

2

Yellow cards

0

1

Red cards

0

50%

Possession

50%

The match between Hibernian and Hearts ended 1-3. Our AI model predicted a Hibernian win at 45% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Celtic – Hearts prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Hibernian vs Hearts — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premiership

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hibernian to win

Wrong
Our model 45%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 67%Bookmakers 67%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 41%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Hibernian Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hibernian 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

Hearts Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Hearts 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 65%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Hibernian vs Hearts 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Hibernian vs Hearts. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Premiership - Scotland
HibernianHibernian1
HeartsHearts3

Winner

1X 69%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

145%
X24%
231%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT21%79%44%56%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT57%43%81%19%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Hibernian23%77%54%46%
Hearts32%68%65%35%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Hibernian79%21%92%8%
Hearts87%13%96%4%

1st Half

136%
X41%
224%

1st Score

157%
X5%
238%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

27%

X-1

16%

X-X

16%

2-2

16%

X-2

9%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

11.3%

2-1

9.8%

1-0

8.7%

1-2

7.5%

2-0

7.0%

0-1

6.8%

2-2

6.2%

0-0

5.5%

3-1

4.9%

0-2

4.5%

3-0

3.8%

3-2

3.3%

1-3

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Celtic – Hearts prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores