Home
Leagues
Premiership
Celtic vs Rangers

Celtic vs Rangers 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Premiership - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)

Fair result

Celtic

0–1

Rangers

0.5Chances (xG)1.8

On these chances Celtic would usually take 0.5 points and Rangers 2.3; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Celtic.

Celtic −0.5 pts vs chancesRangers +0.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Celtic vs Rangers stats: how the match was played

Premiership

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Rangers had more than twice the shots on target

Celtic

Rangers

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

55%

Possession

46%

The match between Celtic and Rangers ended 0-1. Our AI model predicted a Celtic win at 56% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. None of the key markets landed for this fixture — these matches help refine the model and improve future accuracy.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Celtic – Hearts prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Celtic vs Rangers — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Premiership

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Celtic to win

Wrong

Our model 56%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 62%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 63%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 59%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Celtic ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.

Our model 43%Bookmakers 32%

Our track record

In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Celtic Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Celtic 2+ goals

Wrong

Our model 58%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Rangers Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Rangers 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 69%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Celtic vs Rangers 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Celtic vs Rangers. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Premiership - Scotland

Celtic0

Rangers1

Winner

1 56%

BTTS*

Yes 62%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 51%

· FT

Premiership - Scotland

Celtic0

Rangers1

Winner

1 56%

BTTS*

Yes 62%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 51%

Full Time

156%

X22%

223%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	17%	83%	37%	63%	49%	51%	75%	25%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	17%	83%	37%	63%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	49%	51%	75%	25%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	16%	84%	42%	58%	69%	31%	87%	13%
	38%	62%	69%	31%	89%	11%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	16%	84%	42%	58%
	38%	62%	69%	31%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	69%	31%	87%	13%
	89%	11%	97%	3%

1st Half

143%

X36%

221%

1st Score

158%

X4%

238%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

35%

X-1

17%

2-2

13%

X-X

12%

X-2

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

2-1

10.2%

1-1

9.5%

1-0

8.3%

2-0

7.7%

3-1

6.5%

2-2

6.5%

1-2

6.1%

3-0

5.0%

0-1

4.6%

3-2

4.6%

0-0

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Celtic vs Rangers — Recent Form

Rangers have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table. Celtic have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table.

Last 5 matches

Rangers

Celtic

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Celtic

4/5

Rangers

3/5

Both Teams to Score

Celtic

2/5

Rangers

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Celtic

2/5

Rangers

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Celtic

5/5

Rangers

3/5

First Half Result

Celtic

2/5

Rangers

2/5

Correct Score

Celtic

0/5

Rangers

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Celtic – Hearts prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).