Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional 4-2 Score & Prediction Review
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 11)
Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional — Primera Division Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 11 · Apertura
Full-Time Result →
Nacional+3.6% Above implied probability
Deportivo Maldonado+3.6% Above implied probability
┊ 43.9% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
Nacional+0.7% Above implied probability
Deportivo Maldonado-15.9% Below implied probability
┊ 54.1% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
Nacional-15.3% Below implied probability
Deportivo Maldonado-15.3% Below implied probability
┊ 53.7% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
Nacional+17.3% Strongly above implied probability
Deportivo Maldonado+17.3% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 62% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
Nacional+65.2% Strongly above implied probability
Deportivo Maldonado-5.5% Near implied probability
┊ 38.5% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
NacionalDeportivo MaldonadoOur AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Deportivo Maldonado and Nacional across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
First Half Result predictions for Nacional hit at 64% accuracy — that's 65.2% above the bookmaker baseline of 38.5%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for Deportivo Maldonado sit 15.9% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional 4-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
| 1 | 29% | |
| X | 30% | |
| 2 | 41% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 34% | 67% | 60% | 40% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 71% | 29% | 91% | 9% |
| 1 | 26% | |
| X | 45% | |
| 2 | 29% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17% | 5% | 12% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 23% | 5% | 14% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 19% | 2% |
| 1 | 41% | |
| X | 11% | |
| 2 | 48% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 38% | 62% | 74% | 26% |
 | 30% | 70% | 66% | 35% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
| 88% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
| 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 2-2 | 0-3 | 1-3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.8% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% |
| 1 | 29% | |
| X | 30% | |
| 2 | 41% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 34% | 67% | 60% | 40% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 71% | 29% | 91% | 9% |
| 1 | 26% | |
| X | 45% | |
| 2 | 29% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17% | 5% | 12% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 23% | 5% | 14% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 19% | 2% |
| 1 | 41% | |
| X | 11% | |
| 2 | 48% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38% | 62% | 74% | 26% |
| 30% | 70% | 66% | 35% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
| 88% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
| 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.8% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Deportivo Maldonado vs Nacional — Prediction Form & Streaks
Deportivo Maldonado have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3th in the table. Nacional have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table.
Full-Time Result
NacionalDeportivo MaldonadoBoth Teams To Score
NacionalDeportivo MaldonadoOver/Under 2.5 Goals
NacionalDeportivo MaldonadoOver/Under 3.5 Goals
NacionalDeportivo MaldonadoFirst Half Result
NacionalDeportivo MaldonadoCorrect Score
NacionalDeportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado & Nacional Teams in Best Form
Deportivo MaldonadoNacional