Primera Division Predictions & Stats

Free AI predictions for every upcoming Primera Division match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities, with accuracy tracked against bookmaker odds over the last 100 matches.

Primera Division Predictions by Market

Season 2026 · Round 7 · Intermediate Round

Full-Time Result

41%

-13.3%Below implied probability
Low Edge

Both Teams To Score

46%

-15.9%Below implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

58%

+6.2%Above implied probability
Highest Edge

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

82%

+37.6%Strongly above implied probability

First Half Result

48%

+23.4%Strongly above implied probability

Correct Score

15%

Our AI model analyzes Primera Division matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 3 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for Primera Division currently hit at 15%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals is our strongest Primera Division betting market this season with 82% prediction accuracy — that's 37.6% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 59.6%. This means our AI model correctly predicts Over/Under 3.5 Goals outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in Primera Division.

On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions currently sit 15.9% below bookmaker-implied accuracy at 46%. Bookmaker pricing is particularly sharp for Primera Division Both Teams To Score bets, so punters should exercise extra caution and consider combining these picks in accumulators rather than placing them as singles.

The remaining markets — Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, First Half Result — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven Primera Division football tips.

Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
JuventudJuventud

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS**

Yes 50%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

Full Time

146%
X28%
226%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Deportivo Maldonado25%75%60%41%
Juventud39%61%75%25%

Goals Over/Under

<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
FT57%43%68%32%

Correct Score

1-1

13.5%

1-0

12.7%

2-1

9.6%

0-0

9.2%

2-0

8.7%

0-1

8.5%

1-2

6.4%

AlbionAlbion
DanubioDanubio

Winner

1X 70%

BTTS**

No 54%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

TorqueTorque
WanderersWanderers

Winner

1X 75%

BTTS**

Yes 50%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

NacionalNacional
ProgresoProgreso

Winner

1 57%

BTTS**

No 57%

Correct Score

1-0 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

RacingRacing
Boston RiverBoston River

Winner

1 52%

BTTS**

No 58%

Correct Score

1-0 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 71%

PeñarolPeñarol
Cerro LargoCerro Largo

Winner

1 53%

BTTS**

No 58%

Correct Score

1-0 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 73%

Central EspañolCentral Español
LiverpoolLiverpool

Winner

X2 78%

BTTS**

No 55%

Correct Score

0-1 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 73%

Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
CerroCerro

Winner

1 54%

BTTS**

No 54%

Correct Score

1-0 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Primera Division Prediction Accuracy by Team

The stats below break down our AI prediction accuracy for every Primera Division betting market at the team level. For each market, we rank the teams where our model performs best — for example, Defensor Sporting leads Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions with 100% accuracy (20 correct out of 20 picks). The prediction form streaks show which teams our model has been getting right recently — a run of consecutive correct predictions (shown as green dots) suggests the model has a strong read on that team's current patterns. Teams on a hot streak in a high-edge market like Over/Under 3.5 Goals are especially worth watching for your next Primera Division bet.

The form table at the bottom highlights Primera Division teams in the best current match-day form based on recent results — useful for identifying in-form sides that may offer additional betting value.

Primera Division Full-Time Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1Boston RiverBoston River
76%(16/21)
2Cerro LargoCerro Largo
65%(13/20)
3ProgresoProgreso
57%(12/21)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
PeñarolPeñarol
1 in a row
CerroCerro
0 in a row
Boston RiverBoston River
1 in a row

Primera Division Both Teams To Score Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1Cerro LargoCerro Largo
60%(12/20)
2CerroCerro
60%(12/20)
3ProgresoProgreso
57%(12/21)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
PeñarolPeñarol
1 in a row
Cerro LargoCerro Largo
0 in a row
Boston RiverBoston River
2 in a row

Primera Division Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
80%(16/20)
2RacingRacing
70%(14/20)
3Cerro LargoCerro Largo
65%(13/20)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
RacingRacing
5 in a row
Central EspañolCentral Español
4 in a row
Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
4 in a row

Primera Division Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
100%(20/20)
2WanderersWanderers
86%(18/21)
3Boston RiverBoston River
86%(18/21)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
NacionalNacional
5 in a row
LiverpoolLiverpool
5 in a row
Cerro LargoCerro Largo
5 in a row

Primera Division First Half Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
75%(15/20)
2CerroCerro
65%(13/20)
3Central EspañolCentral Español
65%(13/20)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
5 in a row
Central EspañolCentral Español
3 in a row
Cerro LargoCerro Largo
3 in a row

Primera Division Teams in Best Form

WanderersWanderers
W
W
D
W
D
PeñarolPeñarol
W
D
W
L
W
TorqueTorque
W
L
W
W
L

Primera Division Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

Group 1

#TEAM
MPPTSWDLGGDFORM
1
PeñarolPeñarol
6134119:3+6
W
D
W
L
W
2
Cerro LargoCerro Largo
582216:2+4
D
D
W
W
L
3
Central EspañolCentral Español
582214:3+1
D
D
W
L
W
4
RacingRacing
571403:2+1
D
D
D
D
W
5
CerroCerro
562034:8-4
W
L
L
W
L
Final Tournament
Champion Play-off
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches

About Primera Division

Primera División is the top professional football league in Uruguay. It consists of 16 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation. Primera División is known for its competitive matches and technical quality. Club Nacional de Football and Club Atlético Peñarol are the most successful clubs in Primera División history.

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