Primera Division Predictions & Stats

Free AI predictions for every upcoming Primera Division match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities, with accuracy tracked against bookmaker odds over the last 100 matches.

Predictions updated on 1 September 2026.

Primera Division Predictions by Market

Season 2026 · Round 5 · Clausura

Full-Time Result

45%

+6.4%Above implied probability
Low Edge

Both Teams To Score

49%

-9.9%Near implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

61%

+13.2%Strongly above implied probability
Highest Edge

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

84%

+39.1%Strongly above implied probability

First Half Result

51%

+35.3%Strongly above implied probability

Correct Score

13%

Our AI model analyzes Primera Division matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 4 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for Primera Division currently hit at 13%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals is our strongest Primera Division betting market this season with 84% prediction accuracy — that's 39.1% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 60.4%. This means our AI model correctly predicts Over/Under 3.5 Goals outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in Primera Division.

On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions currently sit 9.9% below bookmaker-implied accuracy at 49%. Bookmaker pricing is particularly sharp for Primera Division Both Teams To Score bets, so punters should exercise extra caution and consider combining these picks in accumulators rather than placing them as singles.

The remaining markets — Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, First Half Result — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven Primera Division football tips.

TorqueTorque
Cerro LargoCerro Largo

Winner

1X 76%

BTTS**

No 53%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

Full Time

147%
X29%
224%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Torque26%74%60%40%
Cerro Largo42%58%77%23%

Goals Over/Under

<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
FT59%41%69%31%

Correct Score

1-0

13.8%

1-1

13.1%

0-0

10.3%

2-1

9.4%

2-0

9.2%

0-1

8.8%

AlbionAlbion
ProgresoProgreso

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS**

No 51%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

DanubioDanubio
PeñarolPeñarol

Winner

X2 79%

BTTS**

No 58%

Correct Score

0-1 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 73%

Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
WanderersWanderers

Winner

1X 75%

BTTS**

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

CerroCerro
RacingRacing

Winner

2 50%

BTTS**

No 63%

Correct Score

0-1 18%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 70%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 76%

Central EspañolCentral Español
Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting

Winner

X2 72%

BTTS**

No 59%

Correct Score

0-1 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 66%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 75%

NacionalNacional
JuventudJuventud

Winner

1 52%

BTTS**

No 57%

Correct Score

1-0 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 71%

LiverpoolLiverpool
Boston RiverBoston River

Winner

1X 78%

BTTS**

No 54%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Primera Division Prediction Accuracy by Team

The stats below break down our AI prediction accuracy for every Primera Division betting market at the team level. For each market, we rank the teams where our model performs best — for example, Defensor Sporting leads Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions with 92% accuracy (24 correct out of 26 picks). The prediction form streaks show which teams our model has been getting right recently — a run of consecutive correct predictions (shown as green dots) suggests the model has a strong read on that team's current patterns. Teams on a hot streak in a high-edge market like Over/Under 3.5 Goals are especially worth watching for your next Primera Division bet.

The form table at the bottom highlights Primera Division teams in the best current match-day form based on recent results — useful for identifying in-form sides that may offer additional betting value.

Primera Division Full-Time Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1Boston RiverBoston River
65%(17/26)
2ProgresoProgreso
62%(16/26)
3Cerro LargoCerro Largo
58%(15/26)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
Central EspañolCentral Español
4 in a row
TorqueTorque
3 in a row
JuventudJuventud
3 in a row

Primera Division Both Teams To Score Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1ProgresoProgreso
62%(16/26)
2LiverpoolLiverpool
58%(15/26)
3CerroCerro
58%(15/26)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
ProgresoProgreso
4 in a row
RacingRacing
3 in a row
Central EspañolCentral Español
2 in a row

Primera Division Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1RacingRacing
73%(19/26)
2Cerro LargoCerro Largo
69%(18/26)
3Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
69%(18/26)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
JuventudJuventud
5 in a row
Cerro LargoCerro Largo
4 in a row
DanubioDanubio
4 in a row

Primera Division Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
92%(24/26)
2ProgresoProgreso
89%(23/26)
3Cerro LargoCerro Largo
85%(22/26)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
NacionalNacional
5 in a row
Cerro LargoCerro Largo
5 in a row
Central EspañolCentral Español
5 in a row

Primera Division First Half Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1CerroCerro
65%(17/26)
2Central EspañolCentral Español
65%(17/26)
3Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
65%(17/26)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
RacingRacing
4 in a row
CerroCerro
3 in a row
DanubioDanubio
3 in a row

Primera Division Teams in Best Form

LiverpoolLiverpool
D
W
W
W
TorqueTorque
W
W
W
RacingRacing
W
D
W
D

Primera Division Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

#TEAM
MPPTSWDLGGDFORM
1
LiverpoolLiverpool
41031010:1+9
D
W
W
W
2
TorqueTorque
393009:2+7
W
W
W
3
RacingRacing
482205:2+3
W
D
W
D
4
Boston RiverBoston River
482206:4+2
D
W
D
W
5
JuventudJuventud
472114:2+2
W
W
L
D
Champion Play-off
Final Tournament
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches

About Primera Division

Primera División is the top professional football league in Uruguay. It consists of 16 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation. Primera División is known for its competitive matches and technical quality. Club Nacional de Football and Club Atlético Peñarol are the most successful clubs in Primera División history.

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