Primera Division Predictions & Stats

Free AI predictions for every upcoming Primera Division match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities, with accuracy tracked against bookmaker odds over the last 100 matches.

Predictions updated on 12 August 2026.

Primera Division Predictions by Market

Season 2026 · Round 2 · Clausura

Full-Time Result

46%

+0.4%Above implied probability
Low Edge

Both Teams To Score

46%

-15.4%Below implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

57%

+5%Above implied probability
Highest Edge

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

84%

+37.9%Strongly above implied probability

First Half Result

47%

+20.8%Strongly above implied probability

Correct Score

15%

Our AI model analyzes Primera Division matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 4 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for Primera Division currently hit at 15%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals is our strongest Primera Division betting market this season with 84% prediction accuracy — that's 37.9% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 60.9%. This means our AI model correctly predicts Over/Under 3.5 Goals outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in Primera Division.

On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions currently sit 15.4% below bookmaker-implied accuracy at 46%. Bookmaker pricing is particularly sharp for Primera Division Both Teams To Score bets, so punters should exercise extra caution and consider combining these picks in accumulators rather than placing them as singles.

The remaining markets — Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, First Half Result — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven Primera Division football tips.

Boston RiverBoston River
DanubioDanubio

Winner

12 71%

BTTS**

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Full Time

140%
X29%
232%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Boston River29%71%64%36%
Danubio34%66%70%30%

Goals Over/Under

<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
FT56%44%67%33%

Correct Score

1-1

13.5%

1-0

11.0%

0-1

10.0%

0-0

9.5%

2-1

8.6%

1-2

7.3%

2-0

7.0%

CerroCerro
AlbionAlbion

Winner

X2 75%

BTTS**

No 61%

Correct Score

0-1 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 70%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 77%

JuventudJuventud
TorqueTorque

Winner

X2 70%

BTTS**

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

RacingRacing
NacionalNacional

Winner

12 69%

BTTS**

No 54%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 71%

WanderersWanderers
Cerro LargoCerro Largo

Winner

1X 69%

BTTS**

No 58%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 66%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 75%

ProgresoProgreso
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado

Winner

2 51%

BTTS**

No 55%

Correct Score

0-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
LiverpoolLiverpool

Winner

X2 70%

BTTS**

No 53%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 71%

PeñarolPeñarol
Central EspañolCentral Español

Winner

1 63%

BTTS**

No 56%

Correct Score

1-0 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Primera Division Prediction Accuracy by Team

The stats below break down our AI prediction accuracy for every Primera Division betting market at the team level. For each market, we rank the teams where our model performs best — for example, Defensor Sporting leads Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions with 100% accuracy (23 correct out of 23 picks). The prediction form streaks show which teams our model has been getting right recently — a run of consecutive correct predictions (shown as green dots) suggests the model has a strong read on that team's current patterns. Teams on a hot streak in a high-edge market like Over/Under 3.5 Goals are especially worth watching for your next Primera Division bet.

The form table at the bottom highlights Primera Division teams in the best current match-day form based on recent results — useful for identifying in-form sides that may offer additional betting value.

Primera Division Full-Time Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1Boston RiverBoston River
74%(17/23)
2Cerro LargoCerro Largo
65%(15/23)
3ProgresoProgreso
61%(14/23)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
PeñarolPeñarol
3 in a row
ProgresoProgreso
2 in a row
LiverpoolLiverpool
1 in a row

Primera Division Both Teams To Score Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1Cerro LargoCerro Largo
61%(14/23)
2CerroCerro
61%(14/23)
3LiverpoolLiverpool
57%(13/23)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
Central EspañolCentral Español
4 in a row
LiverpoolLiverpool
2 in a row
ProgresoProgreso
1 in a row

Primera Division Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
74%(17/23)
2RacingRacing
70%(16/23)
3Cerro LargoCerro Largo
65%(15/23)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
Central EspañolCentral Español
5 in a row
JuventudJuventud
3 in a row
Cerro LargoCerro Largo
1 in a row

Primera Division Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
100%(23/23)
2LiverpoolLiverpool
87%(20/23)
3Boston RiverBoston River
87%(20/23)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
NacionalNacional
5 in a row
LiverpoolLiverpool
5 in a row
Cerro LargoCerro Largo
5 in a row

Primera Division First Half Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
74%(17/23)
2Central EspañolCentral Español
65%(15/23)
3NacionalNacional
61%(14/23)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
LiverpoolLiverpool
2 in a row
Central EspañolCentral Español
2 in a row
Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
2 in a row

Primera Division Teams in Best Form

AlbionAlbion
W
W
W
W
W
WanderersWanderers
W
W
W
D
W
JuventudJuventud
W
W
D
D
W

Primera Division Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

Group 1

#TEAM
MPPTSWDLGGDFORM
1
PeñarolPeñarol
71651112:3+9
W
W
D
W
L
2
Cerro LargoCerro Largo
7113227:5+2
L
W
D
D
W
3
RacingRacing
7102414:3+1
W
L
D
D
D
4
LiverpoolLiverpool
792325:50
D
W
L
D
W
5
Central EspañolCentral Español
792324:40
D
L
D
D
W
Final Tournament
Champion Play-off
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches

About Primera Division

Primera División is the top professional football league in Uruguay. It consists of 16 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation. Primera División is known for its competitive matches and technical quality. Club Nacional de Football and Club Atlético Peñarol are the most successful clubs in Primera División history.

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