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Primera Division Predictions & Stats

Primera División is the top professional football league in Uruguay. It consists of 16 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation. Primera División is known for its competitive matches and technical quality. Club Nacional de Football and Club Atlético Peñarol are the most successful clubs in Primera División history.

Primera Division Predictions by Market

Season 2026 · Round 14 · Apertura

Full-Time Result

46%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

43.5% Implied Probability

+5.7% Above implied probability

Low Edge

Both Teams To Score

50%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

54.1% Implied Probability

-7.6% Near implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

55%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

53.6% Implied Probability

+2.6% Above implied probability

Highest Edge

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

76%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

61.5% Implied Probability

+23.6% Strongly above implied probability

First Half Result

47%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

38.1% Implied Probability

+23.4% Strongly above implied probability

Correct Score

11%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

Our AI model analyzes Primera Division matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 4 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for Primera Division currently hit at 11%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals is our strongest Primera Division betting market this season with 76% prediction accuracy — that's 23.6% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 61.5%. This means our AI model correctly predicts Over/Under 3.5 Goals outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in Primera Division.

On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions currently sit 7.6% below bookmaker-implied accuracy at 50%. Bookmaker pricing is particularly sharp for Primera Division Both Teams To Score bets, so punters should exercise extra caution and consider combining these picks in accumulators rather than placing them as singles.

The remaining markets — Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, First Half Result — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven Primera Division football tips.

Today's Betting Tips for Primera Division Uruguay

Full Time


1	49%
X	28%
2	23%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Juventud	25%	75%	60%	40%
Wanderers	45%	55%	79%	21%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	60%	40%	70%	30%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	0-0	2-0	2-1	0-1
14.8%	12.8%	10.6%	9.7%	9.2%	8.2%

Full Time


1	49%
X	28%
2	23%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	25%	75%	60%	40%
	45%	55%	79%	21%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	60%	40%	70%	30%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	0-0	2-0	2-1	0-1
14.8%	12.8%	10.6%	9.7%	9.2%	8.2%

Full Time


1	22%
X	31%
2	47%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Cerro	47%	53%	83%	17%
Deportivo Maldonado	29%	71%	65%	35%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	67%	33%	75%	25%

Correct Score

0-1	1-1	0-0	1-0	0-2	1-2
15.6%	13.8%	13.7%	9.9%	9.7%	8.7%

Full Time


1	22%
X	31%
2	47%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	47%	53%	83%	17%
	29%	71%	65%	35%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	67%	33%	75%	25%

Correct Score

0-1	1-1	0-0	1-0	0-2	1-2
15.6%	13.8%	13.7%	9.9%	9.7%	8.7%

Full Time


1	40%
X	29%
2	32%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Liverpool	31%	69%	66%	34%
Danubio	37%	63%	72%	28%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	59%	41%	70%	30%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-0	0-1	2-1	2-0	1-2
12.9%	12.5%	10.6%	10.4%	8.3%	7.5%	7.4%

Full Time


1	40%
X	29%
2	32%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	31%	69%	66%	34%
	37%	63%	72%	28%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	59%	41%	70%	30%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-0	0-1	2-1	2-0	1-2
12.9%	12.5%	10.6%	10.4%	8.3%	7.5%	7.4%

Full Time


1	29%
X	28%
2	43%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Progreso	38%	62%	74%	26%
Cerro Largo	29%	71%	62%	38%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	58%	42%	69%	31%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	0-0	1-0	1-2	0-2	2-1
12.6%	11.9%	10.1%	10.1%	9.1%	8.4%	6.9%

Full Time


1	29%
X	28%
2	43%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	38%	62%	74%	26%
	29%	71%	62%	38%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	58%	42%	69%	31%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	0-0	1-0	1-2	0-2	2-1
12.6%	11.9%	10.1%	10.1%	9.1%	8.4%	6.9%

Full Time


1	39%
X	28%
2	33%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Boston River	32%	68%	69%	31%
Central Español	36%	64%	72%	28%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	61%	39%	71%	29%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	0-0	2-1	1-2	2-0
13.3%	12.9%	11.2%	10.7%	8.1%	7.7%	7.0%

Full Time


1	39%
X	28%
2	33%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	32%	68%	69%	31%
	36%	64%	72%	28%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	61%	39%	71%	29%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	0-0	2-1	1-2	2-0
13.3%	12.9%	11.2%	10.7%	8.1%	7.7%	7.0%

Full Time


1	37%
X	29%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Racing	33%	67%	69%	31%
Torque	34%	66%	70%	30%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	60%	40%	71%	29%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	0-0	2-1	1-2	2-0	0-2
13.7%	12.2%	11.1%	10.6%	8.1%	7.8%	6.5%	6.1%

Full Time


1	37%
X	29%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	33%	67%	69%	31%
	34%	66%	70%	30%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	60%	40%	71%	29%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	0-0	2-1	1-2	2-0	0-2
13.7%	12.2%	11.1%	10.6%	8.1%	7.8%	6.5%	6.1%

Full Time


1	37%
X	28%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Albion	28%	72%	62%	38%
Nacional	30%	70%	64%	36%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	62%	38%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	1-2	2-1	0-1	0-0
12.9%	8.9%	8.8%	8.6%	8.5%	7.5%

Full Time


1	37%
X	28%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	28%	72%	62%	38%
	30%	70%	64%	36%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	62%	38%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	1-2	2-1	0-1	0-0
12.9%	8.9%	8.8%	8.6%	8.5%	7.5%

Full Time


1	49%
X	27%
2	23%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Peñarol	26%	74%	60%	40%
Defensor Sporting	45%	55%	80%	20%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	61%	39%	71%	29%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	0-0	2-0	2-1	0-1
15.1%	12.1%	11.2%	10.2%	9.3%	8.8%

Full Time


1	49%
X	27%
2	23%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	26%	74%	60%	40%
	45%	55%	80%	20%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	61%	39%	71%	29%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	0-0	2-0	2-1	0-1
15.1%	12.1%	11.2%	10.2%	9.3%	8.8%

Full Time


1	34%
X	31%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Danubio	36%	64%	73%	27%
Albion	36%	64%	72%	28%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	65%	35%	73%	27%

Correct Score

1-1	0-0	0-1	1-0	1-2	2-1	0-2	2-0
14.4%	12.8%	12.4%	12.4%	7.4%	7.1%	6.4%	6.4%

Full Time


1	34%
X	31%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	36%	64%	73%	27%
	36%	64%	72%	28%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	65%	35%	73%	27%

Correct Score

1-1	0-0	0-1	1-0	1-2	2-1	0-2	2-0
14.4%	12.8%	12.4%	12.4%	7.4%	7.1%	6.4%	6.4%

Full Time


1	67%
X	21%
2	12%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Nacional	15%	85%	44%	56%
Cerro	56%	44%	87%	13%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	53%	47%	65%	35%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	2-1	1-1	3-0	0-0
15.5%	13.2%	10.3%	9.8%	8.4%	7.5%

Full Time


1	67%
X	21%
2	12%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	15%	85%	44%	56%
	56%	44%	87%	13%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	53%	47%	65%	35%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	2-1	1-1	3-0	0-0
15.5%	13.2%	10.3%	9.8%	8.4%	7.5%

Full Time


1	51%
X	26%
2	23%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Deportivo Maldonado	23%	77%	57%	43%
Boston River	44%	56%	78%	22%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	57%	43%	68%	32%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1
14.2%	12.2%	9.8%	9.8%	9.4%	7.7%

Full Time


1	51%
X	26%
2	23%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	23%	77%	57%	43%
	44%	56%	78%	22%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	57%	43%	68%	32%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1
14.2%	12.2%	9.8%	9.8%	9.4%	7.7%

Full Time


1	24%
X	28%
2	48%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Central Español	42%	58%	78%	22%
Racing	26%	74%	59%	41%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	59%	41%	69%	31%

Correct Score

0-1	1-1	0-0	1-2	0-2	1-0
13.1%	13.1%	10.5%	9.5%	9.3%	8.9%

Full Time


1	24%
X	28%
2	48%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	42%	58%	78%	22%
	26%	74%	59%	41%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	59%	41%	69%	31%

Correct Score

0-1	1-1	0-0	1-2	0-2	1-0
13.1%	13.1%	10.5%	9.5%	9.3%	8.9%

Full Time


1	52%
X	26%
2	22%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Torque	23%	77%	56%	44%
Progreso	45%	55%	79%	21%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	57%	43%	67%	33%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	2-0	0-0	2-1	0-1
14.2%	12.1%	10.0%	9.4%	9.4%	7.7%

Full Time


1	52%
X	26%
2	22%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	23%	77%	56%	44%
	45%	55%	79%	21%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	57%	43%	67%	33%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	2-0	0-0	2-1	0-1
14.2%	12.1%	10.0%	9.4%	9.4%	7.7%

Full Time


1	19%
X	25%
2	56%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Cerro Largo	50%	50%	83%	17%
Peñarol	22%	78%	55%	45%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	59%	41%	69%	31%

Correct Score

0-1	1-1	0-2	0-0	1-2	1-0
14.9%	11.4%	11.4%	10.4%	9.7%	7.6%

Full Time


1	19%
X	25%
2	56%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	50%	50%	83%	17%
	22%	78%	55%	45%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	59%	41%	69%	31%

Correct Score

0-1	1-1	0-2	0-0	1-2	1-0
14.9%	11.4%	11.4%	10.4%	9.7%	7.6%

Full Time


1	50%
X	25%
2	24%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Defensor Sporting	23%	77%	57%	43%
Juventud	42%	58%	76%	24%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	55%	45%	67%	33%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1
14.2%	12.1%	10.1%	9.0%	8.5%	7.6%

Full Time


1	50%
X	25%
2	24%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	23%	77%	57%	43%
	42%	58%	76%	24%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	55%	45%	67%	33%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1
14.2%	12.1%	10.1%	9.0%	8.5%	7.6%

Full Time


1	24%
X	28%
2	48%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Wanderers	43%	57%	79%	21%
Liverpool	26%	74%	60%	40%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	60%	40%	70%	30%

Correct Score

0-1	1-1	0-0	0-2	1-2	1-0
13.7%	12.8%	10.8%	9.6%	9.6%	8.9%

Full Time


1	24%
X	28%
2	48%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	43%	57%	79%	21%
	26%	74%	60%	40%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	60%	40%	70%	30%

Correct Score

0-1	1-1	0-0	0-2	1-2	1-0
13.7%	12.8%	10.8%	9.6%	9.6%	8.9%

Full Time


1	49%
X	28%
2	23%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Juventud	25%	75%	60%	40%
Wanderers	45%	55%	79%	21%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	60%	40%	70%	30%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	0-0	2-0	2-1	0-1
14.8%	12.8%	10.6%	9.7%	9.2%	8.2%

Full Time


1	49%
X	28%
2	23%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	25%	75%	60%	40%
	45%	55%	79%	21%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	60%	40%	70%	30%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	0-0	2-0	2-1	0-1
14.8%	12.8%	10.6%	9.7%	9.2%	8.2%

Full Time


1	22%
X	31%
2	47%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Cerro	47%	53%	83%	17%
Deportivo Maldonado	29%	71%	65%	35%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	67%	33%	75%	25%

Correct Score

0-1	1-1	0-0	1-0	0-2	1-2
15.6%	13.8%	13.7%	9.9%	9.7%	8.7%

Full Time


1	22%
X	31%
2	47%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	47%	53%	83%	17%
	29%	71%	65%	35%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	67%	33%	75%	25%

Correct Score

0-1	1-1	0-0	1-0	0-2	1-2
15.6%	13.8%	13.7%	9.9%	9.7%	8.7%

Full Time


1	40%
X	29%
2	32%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Liverpool	31%	69%	66%	34%
Danubio	37%	63%	72%	28%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	59%	41%	70%	30%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-0	0-1	2-1	2-0	1-2
12.9%	12.5%	10.6%	10.4%	8.3%	7.5%	7.4%

Full Time


1	40%
X	29%
2	32%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	31%	69%	66%	34%
	37%	63%	72%	28%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	59%	41%	70%	30%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-0	0-1	2-1	2-0	1-2
12.9%	12.5%	10.6%	10.4%	8.3%	7.5%	7.4%

Full Time


1	29%
X	28%
2	43%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Progreso	38%	62%	74%	26%
Cerro Largo	29%	71%	62%	38%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	58%	42%	69%	31%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	0-0	1-0	1-2	0-2	2-1
12.6%	11.9%	10.1%	10.1%	9.1%	8.4%	6.9%

Full Time


1	29%
X	28%
2	43%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	38%	62%	74%	26%
	29%	71%	62%	38%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	58%	42%	69%	31%

Correct Score

1-1	0-1	0-0	1-0	1-2	0-2	2-1
12.6%	11.9%	10.1%	10.1%	9.1%	8.4%	6.9%

Full Time


1	39%
X	28%
2	33%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Boston River	32%	68%	69%	31%
Central Español	36%	64%	72%	28%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	61%	39%	71%	29%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	0-0	2-1	1-2	2-0
13.3%	12.9%	11.2%	10.7%	8.1%	7.7%	7.0%

Full Time


1	39%
X	28%
2	33%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	32%	68%	69%	31%
	36%	64%	72%	28%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	61%	39%	71%	29%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	0-0	2-1	1-2	2-0
13.3%	12.9%	11.2%	10.7%	8.1%	7.7%	7.0%

Full Time


1	37%
X	29%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Racing	33%	67%	69%	31%
Torque	34%	66%	70%	30%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	60%	40%	71%	29%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	0-0	2-1	1-2	2-0	0-2
13.7%	12.2%	11.1%	10.6%	8.1%	7.8%	6.5%	6.1%

Full Time


1	37%
X	29%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	33%	67%	69%	31%
	34%	66%	70%	30%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	60%	40%	71%	29%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	0-1	0-0	2-1	1-2	2-0	0-2
13.7%	12.2%	11.1%	10.6%	8.1%	7.8%	6.5%	6.1%

Full Time


1	37%
X	28%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Albion	28%	72%	62%	38%
Nacional	30%	70%	64%	36%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	62%	38%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	1-2	2-1	0-1	0-0
12.9%	8.9%	8.8%	8.6%	8.5%	7.5%

Full Time


1	37%
X	28%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	28%	72%	62%	38%
	30%	70%	64%	36%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	49%	51%	62%	38%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	1-2	2-1	0-1	0-0
12.9%	8.9%	8.8%	8.6%	8.5%	7.5%

Full Time


1	49%
X	27%
2	23%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Peñarol	26%	74%	60%	40%
Defensor Sporting	45%	55%	80%	20%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	61%	39%	71%	29%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	0-0	2-0	2-1	0-1
15.1%	12.1%	11.2%	10.2%	9.3%	8.8%

Full Time


1	49%
X	27%
2	23%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	26%	74%	60%	40%
	45%	55%	80%	20%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	61%	39%	71%	29%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	0-0	2-0	2-1	0-1
15.1%	12.1%	11.2%	10.2%	9.3%	8.8%

Full Time


1	34%
X	31%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Danubio	36%	64%	73%	27%
Albion	36%	64%	72%	28%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	65%	35%	73%	27%

Correct Score

1-1	0-0	0-1	1-0	1-2	2-1	0-2	2-0
14.4%	12.8%	12.4%	12.4%	7.4%	7.1%	6.4%	6.4%

Full Time


1	34%
X	31%
2	35%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	36%	64%	73%	27%
	36%	64%	72%	28%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	65%	35%	73%	27%

Correct Score

1-1	0-0	0-1	1-0	1-2	2-1	0-2	2-0
14.4%	12.8%	12.4%	12.4%	7.4%	7.1%	6.4%	6.4%

Full Time


1	67%
X	21%
2	12%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Nacional	15%	85%	44%	56%
Cerro	56%	44%	87%	13%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	53%	47%	65%	35%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	2-1	1-1	3-0	0-0
15.5%	13.2%	10.3%	9.8%	8.4%	7.5%

Full Time


1	67%
X	21%
2	12%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	15%	85%	44%	56%
	56%	44%	87%	13%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	53%	47%	65%	35%

Correct Score

1-0	2-0	2-1	1-1	3-0	0-0
15.5%	13.2%	10.3%	9.8%	8.4%	7.5%

Full Time


1	51%
X	26%
2	23%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Deportivo Maldonado	23%	77%	57%	43%
Boston River	44%	56%	78%	22%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	57%	43%	68%	32%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1
14.2%	12.2%	9.8%	9.8%	9.4%	7.7%

Full Time


1	51%
X	26%
2	23%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	23%	77%	57%	43%
	44%	56%	78%	22%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	57%	43%	68%	32%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1
14.2%	12.2%	9.8%	9.8%	9.4%	7.7%

Full Time


1	24%
X	28%
2	48%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Central Español	42%	58%	78%	22%
Racing	26%	74%	59%	41%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	59%	41%	69%	31%

Correct Score

0-1	1-1	0-0	1-2	0-2	1-0
13.1%	13.1%	10.5%	9.5%	9.3%	8.9%

Full Time


1	24%
X	28%
2	48%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	42%	58%	78%	22%
	26%	74%	59%	41%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	59%	41%	69%	31%

Correct Score

0-1	1-1	0-0	1-2	0-2	1-0
13.1%	13.1%	10.5%	9.5%	9.3%	8.9%

Full Time


1	52%
X	26%
2	22%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Torque	23%	77%	56%	44%
Progreso	45%	55%	79%	21%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	57%	43%	67%	33%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	2-0	0-0	2-1	0-1
14.2%	12.1%	10.0%	9.4%	9.4%	7.7%

Full Time


1	52%
X	26%
2	22%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	23%	77%	56%	44%
	45%	55%	79%	21%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	57%	43%	67%	33%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	2-0	0-0	2-1	0-1
14.2%	12.1%	10.0%	9.4%	9.4%	7.7%

Full Time


1	19%
X	25%
2	56%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Cerro Largo	50%	50%	83%	17%
Peñarol	22%	78%	55%	45%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	59%	41%	69%	31%

Correct Score

0-1	1-1	0-2	0-0	1-2	1-0
14.9%	11.4%	11.4%	10.4%	9.7%	7.6%

Full Time


1	19%
X	25%
2	56%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	50%	50%	83%	17%
	22%	78%	55%	45%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	59%	41%	69%	31%

Correct Score

0-1	1-1	0-2	0-0	1-2	1-0
14.9%	11.4%	11.4%	10.4%	9.7%	7.6%

Full Time


1	50%
X	25%
2	24%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Defensor Sporting	23%	77%	57%	43%
Juventud	42%	58%	76%	24%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	55%	45%	67%	33%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1
14.2%	12.1%	10.1%	9.0%	8.5%	7.6%

Full Time


1	50%
X	25%
2	24%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	23%	77%	57%	43%
	42%	58%	76%	24%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	55%	45%	67%	33%

Correct Score

1-0	1-1	2-1	2-0	0-0	0-1
14.2%	12.1%	10.1%	9.0%	8.5%	7.6%

Full Time


1	24%
X	28%
2	48%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
Wanderers	43%	57%	79%	21%
Liverpool	26%	74%	60%	40%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	60%	40%	70%	30%

Correct Score

0-1	1-1	0-0	0-2	1-2	1-0
13.7%	12.8%	10.8%	9.6%	9.6%	8.9%

Full Time


1	24%
X	28%
2	48%

Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	43%	57%	79%	21%
	26%	74%	60%	40%
	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	60%	40%	70%	30%

Correct Score

0-1	1-1	0-0	0-2	1-2	1-0
13.7%	12.8%	10.8%	9.6%	9.6%	8.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Primera Division Prediction Accuracy by Team

The stats below break down our AI prediction accuracy for every Primera Division betting market at the team level. For each market, we rank the teams where our model performs best — for example, Defensor Sporting leads Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions with 100% accuracy (13 correct out of 13 picks). The prediction form streaks show which teams our model has been getting right recently — a run of consecutive correct predictions (shown as green dots) suggests the model has a strong read on that team's current patterns. Teams on a hot streak in a high-edge market like Over/Under 3.5 Goals are especially worth watching for your next Primera Division bet.

The form table at the bottom highlights Primera Division teams in the best current match-day form based on recent results — useful for identifying in-form sides that may offer additional betting value.

Primera Division Full-Time Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Boston River

77%(10/13)

Cerro Largo

62%(8/13)

Torque

62%(8/13)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Boston River

5 in a row

Cerro Largo

2 in a row

Racing

1 in a row

Primera Division Both Teams To Score Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Boston River

62%(8/13)

Defensor Sporting

62%(8/13)

Progreso

62%(8/13)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Cerro Largo

2 in a row

Peñarol

1 in a row

Defensor Sporting

1 in a row

Primera Division Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Defensor Sporting

85%(11/13)

Cerro

69%(9/13)

Boston River

69%(9/13)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Defensor Sporting

5 in a row

Cerro Largo

3 in a row

Liverpool

1 in a row

Primera Division Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Defensor Sporting

100%(13/13)

Wanderers

85%(11/13)

Cerro

85%(11/13)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Racing

5 in a row

Defensor Sporting

5 in a row

Progreso

4 in a row

Primera Division First Half Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy

Defensor Sporting

77%(10/13)

Nacional

69%(9/13)

Cerro

62%(8/13)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak

Nacional

4 in a row

Deportivo Maldonado

1 in a row

Defensor Sporting

1 in a row

Primera Division Teams in Best Form

Racing

Albion

Central Español

Primera Division Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

#TEAM	MP	PTS	W	D	L	G	GD	FORM
1 Racing	13	30	9	3	1	22:11	+11	W D W W W
2 Deportivo Maldonado	13	23	7	2	4	21:15	+6	L D W W L
3 Peñarol	13	23	7	2	4	19:13	+6	L D L W L
4 Albion	13	22	6	4	3	22:14	+8	W W W D D
5 Central Español	13	21	6	3	4	20:20	0	W L D W W

Champion Play-off

MP=Matches Played

PTS=Points

W=Wins

D=Draws

L=Losses

G=Goals (For:Against)

GD=Goal Difference

FORM=Last 5 Matches

View Full Standings