Primera Division Predictions & Stats

Free AI predictions for every upcoming Primera Division match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities, with accuracy tracked against bookmaker odds over the last 100 matches.

Predictions updated on 21 September 2026.

Primera Division Predictions by Market

Season 2026 · Round 7 · Clausura

Full-Time Result

44%

+2.6%Above implied probability
Low Edge

Both Teams To Score

45%

-17.4%Below implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

61%

+13.2%Strongly above implied probability
Highest Edge

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

81%

+37.1%Strongly above implied probability

First Half Result

50%

+33%Strongly above implied probability

Correct Score

14%

Our AI model analyzes Primera Division matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 4 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for Primera Division currently hit at 14%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals is our strongest Primera Division betting market this season with 81% prediction accuracy — that's 37.1% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 59.1%. This means our AI model correctly predicts Over/Under 3.5 Goals outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in Primera Division.

On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions currently sit 17.4% below bookmaker-implied accuracy at 45%. Bookmaker pricing is particularly sharp for Primera Division Both Teams To Score bets, so punters should exercise extra caution and consider combining these picks in accumulators rather than placing them as singles.

The remaining markets — Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, First Half Result — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven Primera Division football tips.

Central EspañolCentral Español
TorqueTorque

Winner

12 72%

BTTS**

No 52%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

Full Time

134%
X28%
238%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Central Español35%65%71%29%
Torque32%68%68%32%

Goals Over/Under

<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
FT60%41%70%30%

Correct Score

1-1

13.4%

0-1

12.0%

1-0

11.2%

0-0

10.1%

1-2

8.2%

2-1

7.7%

0-2

6.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Primera Division Prediction Accuracy by Team

The stats below break down our AI prediction accuracy for every Primera Division betting market at the team level. For each market, we rank the teams where our model performs best — for example, Defensor Sporting leads Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions with 90% accuracy (26 correct out of 29 picks). The prediction form streaks show which teams our model has been getting right recently — a run of consecutive correct predictions (shown as green dots) suggests the model has a strong read on that team's current patterns. Teams on a hot streak in a high-edge market like Over/Under 3.5 Goals are especially worth watching for your next Primera Division bet.

The form table at the bottom highlights Primera Division teams in the best current match-day form based on recent results — useful for identifying in-form sides that may offer additional betting value.

Primera Division Full-Time Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1Boston RiverBoston River
66%(19/29)
2TorqueTorque
59%(16/27)
3Cerro LargoCerro Largo
59%(17/29)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
TorqueTorque
5 in a row
PeñarolPeñarol
3 in a row
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
1 in a row

Primera Division Both Teams To Score Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1LiverpoolLiverpool
59%(17/29)
2Cerro LargoCerro Largo
55%(16/29)
3CerroCerro
55%(16/29)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
2 in a row
RacingRacing
1 in a row
Central EspañolCentral Español
1 in a row

Primera Division Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1RacingRacing
72%(21/29)
2Cerro LargoCerro Largo
69%(20/29)
3Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
69%(20/29)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
5 in a row
Cerro LargoCerro Largo
2 in a row
DanubioDanubio
2 in a row

Primera Division Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
90%(26/29)
2Cerro LargoCerro Largo
86%(25/29)
3ProgresoProgreso
86%(25/29)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
Cerro LargoCerro Largo
5 in a row
Central EspañolCentral Español
5 in a row
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
5 in a row

Primera Division First Half Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1Central EspañolCentral Español
68%(19/28)
2Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
66%(19/29)
3CerroCerro
62%(18/29)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
Central EspañolCentral Español
2 in a row
LiverpoolLiverpool
1 in a row
WanderersWanderers
2 in a row

Primera Division Teams in Best Form

TorqueTorque
W
W
W
W
W
JuventudJuventud
W
D
D
W
W
NacionalNacional
W
D
D
W
W

Primera Division Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

#TEAM
MPPTSWDLGGDFORM
1
TorqueTorque
51550014:4+10
W
W
W
W
W
2
LiverpoolLiverpool
71442112:4+8
D
L
W
D
W
3
PeñarolPeñarol
61341111:4+7
W
W
W
L
D
4
CerroCerro
7134129:90
L
W
W
D
L
5
JuventudJuventud
71233110:6+4
W
D
D
W
W
Champion Play-off
Final Tournament
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches

About Primera Division

Primera División is the top professional football league in Uruguay. It consists of 16 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation. Primera División is known for its competitive matches and technical quality. Club Nacional de Football and Club Atlético Peñarol are the most successful clubs in Primera División history.

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