Primera Division Predictions & Stats

Free AI predictions for every upcoming Primera Division match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities, with accuracy tracked against bookmaker odds over the last 100 matches.

Predictions updated on 15 September 2026.

Primera Division Predictions by Market

Full-Time Result

48%

+12.9%Strongly above implied probability
Low Edge

Both Teams To Score

47%

-13.8%Below implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

59%

+9.7%Above implied probability
Highest Edge

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

83%

+39.5%Strongly above implied probability

First Half Result

51%

+35.3%Strongly above implied probability

Correct Score

13%

Our AI model analyzes Primera Division matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 4 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for Primera Division currently hit at 13%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals is our strongest Primera Division betting market this season with 83% prediction accuracy — that's 39.5% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 59.5%. This means our AI model correctly predicts Over/Under 3.5 Goals outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in Primera Division.

On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions currently sit 13.8% below bookmaker-implied accuracy at 47%. Bookmaker pricing is particularly sharp for Primera Division Both Teams To Score bets, so punters should exercise extra caution and consider combining these picks in accumulators rather than placing them as singles.

The remaining markets — Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, First Half Result — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven Primera Division football tips.

No upcoming football predictions for Primera Division Uruguay

There are currently no upcoming matches scheduled in the Primera Division. Our football predictions for this league will resume as soon as new fixtures are available. Check back shortly for the latest match forecasts and betting insights.

Primera Division Prediction Accuracy by Team

The stats below break down our AI prediction accuracy for every Primera Division betting market at the team level. For each market, we rank the teams where our model performs best — for example, Defensor Sporting leads Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions with 93% accuracy (26 correct out of 28 picks). The prediction form streaks show which teams our model has been getting right recently — a run of consecutive correct predictions (shown as green dots) suggests the model has a strong read on that team's current patterns. Teams on a hot streak in a high-edge market like Over/Under 3.5 Goals are especially worth watching for your next Primera Division bet.

The form table at the bottom highlights Primera Division teams in the best current match-day form based on recent results — useful for identifying in-form sides that may offer additional betting value.

Primera Division Full-Time Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1Boston RiverBoston River
68%(19/28)
2TorqueTorque
59%(16/27)
3Cerro LargoCerro Largo
57%(16/28)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
TorqueTorque
5 in a row
LiverpoolLiverpool
2 in a row
PeñarolPeñarol
2 in a row

Primera Division Both Teams To Score Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1LiverpoolLiverpool
57%(16/28)
2CerroCerro
57%(16/28)
3ProgresoProgreso
57%(16/28)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
1 in a row
RacingRacing
0 in a row
Central EspañolCentral Español
1 in a row

Primera Division Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1RacingRacing
71%(20/28)
2Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
71%(20/28)
3Cerro LargoCerro Largo
68%(19/28)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
5 in a row
NacionalNacional
1 in a row
Cerro LargoCerro Largo
1 in a row

Primera Division Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
93%(26/28)
2Cerro LargoCerro Largo
86%(24/28)
3ProgresoProgreso
86%(24/28)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
Cerro LargoCerro Largo
5 in a row
Central EspañolCentral Español
5 in a row
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
5 in a row

Primera Division First Half Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1Central EspañolCentral Español
68%(19/28)
2Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
68%(19/28)
3NacionalNacional
61%(17/28)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
Central EspañolCentral Español
2 in a row
NacionalNacional
2 in a row
Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
2 in a row

Primera Division Teams in Best Form

TorqueTorque
W
W
W
W
W
LiverpoolLiverpool
L
W
D
W
W
CerroCerro
W
W
D
L
W

Primera Division Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

#TEAM
MPPTSWDLGGDFORM
1
TorqueTorque
51550014:4+10
W
W
W
W
W
2
LiverpoolLiverpool
61341112:4+8
L
W
D
W
W
3
CerroCerro
6134118:7+1
W
W
D
L
W
4
RacingRacing
6113218:5+3
W
L
W
D
W
5
PeñarolPeñarol
5103119:3+6
W
W
L
D
W
Champion Play-off
Final Tournament
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches

About Primera Division

Primera División is the top professional football league in Uruguay. It consists of 16 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation. Primera División is known for its competitive matches and technical quality. Club Nacional de Football and Club Atlético Peñarol are the most successful clubs in Primera División history.

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