Peñarol vs Liverpool Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 11)
Peñarol vs Liverpool — Primera Division Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 11 · Apertura
Full-Time Result →
Liverpool-54.4% Below implied probability
Peñarol+36.7% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 43.9% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
Liverpool-7.6% Near implied probability
Peñarol-26.1% Below implied probability
┊ 54.1% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
Liverpool+11.7% Strongly above implied probability
Peñarol-6.9% Near implied probability
┊ 53.7% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
Liverpool+29% Strongly above implied probability
Peñarol+29% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 62% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
Liverpool+55.8% Strongly above implied probability
Peñarol-22.1% Below implied probability
┊ 38.5% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
LiverpoolPeñarolOur AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Peñarol and Liverpool across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
First Half Result predictions for Liverpool hit at 60% accuracy — that's 55.8% above the bookmaker baseline of 38.5%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for Liverpool sit 54.4% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Peñarol vs Liverpool — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Peñarol vs Liverpool. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
| 1 | 44% | |
| X | 28% | |
| 2 | 27% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 32% | 68% | 58% | 42% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 69% | 31% | 90% | 10% |
| 1 | 33% | |
| X | 44% | |
| 2 | 23% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 5% | 16% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 15% | 5% | 11% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 18% | 3% |
| 1 | 53% | |
| X | 10% | |
| 2 | 38% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27% | 73% | 62% | 38% |
 | 39% | 61% | 75% | 25% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 86% | 14% | 96% | 4% |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
| 1-1 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 3-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.5% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% |
| 1 | 44% | |
| X | 28% | |
| 2 | 27% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 32% | 68% | 58% | 42% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 69% | 31% | 90% | 10% |
| 1 | 33% | |
| X | 44% | |
| 2 | 23% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 5% | 16% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 15% | 5% | 11% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 18% | 3% |
| 1 | 53% | |
| X | 10% | |
| 2 | 38% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27% | 73% | 62% | 38% |
| 39% | 61% | 75% | 25% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 86% | 14% | 96% | 4% |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
| 1-1 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.5% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Peñarol vs Liverpool — Prediction Form & Streaks
Peñarol have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2th in the table. Liverpool have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Peñarol well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 3 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
Full-Time Result
LiverpoolPeñarolBoth Teams To Score
LiverpoolPeñarolOver/Under 2.5 Goals
LiverpoolPeñarolOver/Under 3.5 Goals
LiverpoolPeñarolFirst Half Result
LiverpoolPeñarolCorrect Score
LiverpoolPeñarolPeñarol & Liverpool Teams in Best Form
PeñarolLiverpool