Racing vs Defensor Sporting 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 12)
Racing vs Defensor Sporting — Primera Division Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 12 · Apertura
Full-Time Result →
-22.4% Below implied probability
-22.4% Below implied probability
┊ 42.9% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
-26.2% Below implied probability
-1.7% Near implied probability
┊ 54.2% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
+11.5% Strongly above implied probability
+48.7% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 53.8% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
+30.7% Strongly above implied probability
+63.4% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 61.2% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
+22.9% Strongly above implied probability
+75.5% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 38% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Racing and Defensor Sporting across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
First Half Result predictions for Defensor Sporting hit at 67% accuracy — that's 75.5% above the bookmaker baseline of 38%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for Racing sit 26.2% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Racing vs Defensor Sporting 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Racing vs Defensor Sporting. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
| 1 | 43% | |
| X | 31% | |
| 2 | 26% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 40% | 60% | 66% | 34% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 75% | 25% | 93% | 7% |
| 1 | 31% | |
| X | 49% | |
| 2 | 20% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 5% | 17% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 14% | 5% | 11% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 1% | 22% | 2% |
| 1 | 50% | |
| X | 14% | |
| 2 | 36% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31% | 69% | 68% | 32% | |
| 44% | 56% | 79% | 21% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% | |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
| 1-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3-0 | 3-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.8% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% |
| 1 | 43% | |
| X | 31% | |
| 2 | 26% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 40% | 60% | 66% | 34% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 75% | 25% | 93% | 7% |
| 1 | 31% | |
| X | 49% | |
| 2 | 20% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 5% | 17% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 14% | 5% | 11% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 1% | 22% | 2% |
| 1 | 50% | |
| X | 14% | |
| 2 | 36% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31% | 69% | 68% | 32% | |
| 44% | 56% | 79% | 21% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% | |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
| 1-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 2-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.8% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Racing vs Defensor Sporting — Prediction Form & Streaks
Racing have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1th in the table. Defensor Sporting have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Racing well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.