Liverpool vs Nacional Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 12)
Liverpool vs Nacional — Primera Division Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 12 · Apertura
Full-Time Result →
+3.6% Above implied probability
-54.4% Below implied probability
┊ 43.9% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
+0.7% Above implied probability
-7.6% Near implied probability
┊ 54.1% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
-15.3% Below implied probability
+11.7% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 53.7% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
+17.3% Strongly above implied probability
+29% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 62% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
+65.2% Strongly above implied probability
+55.8% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 38.5% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Liverpool and Nacional across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
First Half Result predictions for Nacional hit at 64% accuracy — that's 65.2% above the bookmaker baseline of 38.5%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for Liverpool sit 54.4% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Liverpool vs Nacional — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Liverpool vs Nacional. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
| 1 | 29% | |
| X | 28% | |
| 2 | 43% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 30% | 70% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 67% | 33% | 88% | 12% |
| 1 | 26% | |
| X | 42% | |
| 2 | 32% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16% | 5% | 11% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 26% | 5% | 15% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 16% | 2% |
| 1 | 39% | |
| X | 9% | |
| 2 | 52% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37% | 63% | 72% | 28% | |
| 27% | 73% | 61% | 39% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 91% | 9% | 98% | 2% | |
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
| 1-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 2-2 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 0-3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.9% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% |
| 1 | 29% | |
| X | 28% | |
| 2 | 43% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 30% | 70% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 67% | 33% | 88% | 12% |
| 1 | 26% | |
| X | 42% | |
| 2 | 32% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16% | 5% | 11% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 26% | 5% | 15% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 16% | 2% |
| 1 | 39% | |
| X | 9% | |
| 2 | 52% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37% | 63% | 72% | 28% | |
| 27% | 73% | 61% | 39% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 91% | 9% | 98% | 2% | |
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
| 1-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.9% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Liverpool vs Nacional — Prediction Form & Streaks
Nacional have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table. Liverpool have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table.