Cerro vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 14)
Cerro vs Deportivo Maldonado — Primera Division Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 14 · Apertura
Full-Time Result →
+6.2% Above implied probability
-11.5% Below implied probability
┊ 43.5% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
-0.6% Near implied probability
-28.8% Below implied probability
┊ 54.1% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
+29.1% Strongly above implied probability
-13.8% Below implied probability
┊ 53.6% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
+37.6% Strongly above implied probability
+25% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 61.5% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
+61.4% Strongly above implied probability
+1% Above implied probability
┊ 38.1% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Cerro and Deportivo Maldonado across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
First Half Result predictions for Cerro hit at 62% accuracy — that's 61.4% above the bookmaker baseline of 38.1%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for Deportivo Maldonado sit 28.8% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Cerro vs Deportivo Maldonado — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Cerro vs Deportivo Maldonado. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
| 1 | 22% | |
| X | 31% | |
| 2 | 47% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 39% | 61% | 67% | 33% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 75% | 25% | 93% | 7% |
| 1 | 18% | |
| X | 50% | |
| 2 | 33% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11% | 5% | 10% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 24% | 5% | 18% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 23% | 2% |
| 1 | 32% | |
| X | 14% | |
| 2 | 54% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47% | 53% | 83% | 17% | |
| 29% | 71% | 65% | 35% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 96% | 4% | 99% | 1% | |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
| 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 2-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.6% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% |
| 1 | 22% | |
| X | 31% | |
| 2 | 47% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 39% | 61% | 67% | 33% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 75% | 25% | 93% | 7% |
| 1 | 18% | |
| X | 50% | |
| 2 | 33% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11% | 5% | 10% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 24% | 5% | 18% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 23% | 2% |
| 1 | 32% | |
| X | 14% | |
| 2 | 54% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47% | 53% | 83% | 17% | |
| 29% | 71% | 65% | 35% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 96% | 4% | 99% | 1% | |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
| 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-2 | 1-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.6% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Cerro vs Deportivo Maldonado — Prediction Form & Streaks
Deportivo Maldonado have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2th in the table. Cerro have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.