Atlético Progreso vs Cerro Largo Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 14)
Progreso vs Cerro Largo — Primera Division Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 14 · Apertura
Full-Time Result →
Cerro Largo+41.4% Strongly above implied probability
Progreso+6.2% Above implied probability
┊ 43.5% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
Cerro Largo-0.6% Near implied probability
Progreso+13.7% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 54.1% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
Cerro Largo+14.7% Strongly above implied probability
Progreso+14.7% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 53.6% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
Cerro Largo+25% Strongly above implied probability
Progreso+25% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 61.5% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
Cerro Largo-19.2% Below implied probability
Progreso+41.2% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 38.1% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
Cerro LargoProgresoOur AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Progreso and Cerro Largo across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Full-Time Result predictions for Cerro Largo hit at 62% accuracy — that's 41.4% above the bookmaker baseline of 43.5%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, First Half Result predictions for Cerro Largo sit 19.2% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Progreso vs Cerro Largo — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Progreso vs Cerro Largo. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
| 1 | 29% | |
| X | 28% | |
| 2 | 43% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 32% | 68% | 58% | 42% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 69% | 31% | 90% | 10% |
| 1 | 23% | |
| X | 45% | |
| 2 | 32% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15% | 5% | 11% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 25% | 5% | 16% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 3% | 18% | 2% |
| 1 | 41% | |
| X | 10% | |
| 2 | 49% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 38% | 62% | 74% | 26% |
 | 29% | 71% | 62% | 38% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
| 86% | 14% | 96% | 4% |
| 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 0-3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% |
| 1 | 29% | |
| X | 28% | |
| 2 | 43% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 32% | 68% | 58% | 42% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 69% | 31% | 90% | 10% |
| 1 | 23% | |
| X | 45% | |
| 2 | 32% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15% | 5% | 11% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 25% | 5% | 16% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 3% | 18% | 2% |
| 1 | 41% | |
| X | 10% | |
| 2 | 49% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38% | 62% | 74% | 26% |
| 29% | 71% | 62% | 38% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
| 86% | 14% | 96% | 4% |
| 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Progreso vs Cerro Largo — Prediction Form & Streaks
Cerro Largo have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table. Progreso have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 14th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Progreso well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 4 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
Full-Time Result
Cerro LargoProgresoBoth Teams To Score
Cerro LargoProgresoOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Cerro LargoProgresoOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Cerro LargoProgresoFirst Half Result
Cerro LargoProgresoCorrect Score
Cerro LargoProgresoProgreso & Cerro Largo Teams in Best Form
Cerro LargoProgreso