Montevideo City Torque vs Atlético Progreso Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 15)
Torque vs Progreso — Primera Division Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 15 · Apertura
Full-Time Result →
Torque+41.4% Strongly above implied probability
Progreso+6.2% Above implied probability
┊ 43.5% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
Torque-0.6% Near implied probability
Progreso+13.7% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 54.1% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
Torque+0.4% Above implied probability
Progreso+14.7% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 53.6% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
Torque+0% Above implied probability
Progreso+25% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 61.5% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
Torque-19.2% Below implied probability
Progreso+41.2% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 38.1% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
TorqueProgresoOur AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Torque and Progreso across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Full-Time Result predictions for Torque hit at 62% accuracy — that's 41.4% above the bookmaker baseline of 43.5%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, First Half Result predictions for Torque sit 19.2% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Torque vs Progreso — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Torque vs Progreso. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
| 1 | 52% | |
| X | 26% | |
| 2 | 22% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 31% | 69% | 57% | 43% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 67% | 33% | 88% | 12% |
| 1 | 36% | |
| X | 46% | |
| 2 | 18% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31% | 5% | 19% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 11% | 4% | 8% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 1% | 18% | 3% |
| 1 | 56% | |
| X | 9% | |
| 2 | 34% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23% | 77% | 56% | 44% |
 | 45% | 55% | 79% | 21% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
| 94% | 6% | 99% | 1% |
| 1-0 | 1-1 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 3-1 | 2-2 | 0-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.2% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% |
| 1 | 52% | |
| X | 26% | |
| 2 | 22% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 31% | 69% | 57% | 43% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 67% | 33% | 88% | 12% |
| 1 | 36% | |
| X | 46% | |
| 2 | 18% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31% | 5% | 19% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 11% | 4% | 8% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 1% | 18% | 3% |
| 1 | 56% | |
| X | 9% | |
| 2 | 34% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23% | 77% | 56% | 44% |
| 45% | 55% | 79% | 21% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
| 94% | 6% | 99% | 1% |
| 1-0 | 1-1 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.2% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Torque vs Progreso — Prediction Form & Streaks
Torque have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 7th in the table. Progreso have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 14th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Progreso well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 4 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
Full-Time Result
TorqueProgresoBoth Teams To Score
TorqueProgresoOver/Under 2.5 Goals
TorqueProgresoOver/Under 3.5 Goals
TorqueProgresoFirst Half Result
TorqueProgresoCorrect Score
TorqueProgresoTorque & Progreso Teams in Best Form
TorqueProgreso