Cerro Largo vs Peñarol Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 15)
Cerro Largo vs Peñarol — Primera Division Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 15 · Apertura
Full-Time Result →
+41.4% Strongly above implied probability
+6.2% Above implied probability
┊ 43.5% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
-0.6% Near implied probability
-14.6% Below implied probability
┊ 54.1% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
+14.7% Strongly above implied probability
+0.4% Above implied probability
┊ 53.6% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
+25% Strongly above implied probability
+25% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 61.5% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
-19.2% Below implied probability
-39.4% Below implied probability
┊ 38.1% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Cerro Largo and Peñarol across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Full-Time Result predictions for Cerro Largo hit at 62% accuracy — that's 41.4% above the bookmaker baseline of 43.5%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, First Half Result predictions for Peñarol sit 39.4% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Cerro Largo vs Peñarol — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Cerro Largo vs Peñarol. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
| 1 | 19% | |
| X | 25% | |
| 2 | 56% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 33% | 67% | 59% | 41% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 69% | 31% | 89% | 11% |
| 1 | 17% | |
| X | 45% | |
| 2 | 38% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9% | 5% | 8% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 34% | 4% | 19% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 3% | 17% | 1% |
| 1 | 28% | |
| X | 10% | |
| 2 | 62% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50% | 50% | 83% | 17% | |
| 22% | 78% | 55% | 45% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 96% | 4% | 99% | 1% | |
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
| 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 2-1 | 2-2 | 2-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.9% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% |
| 1 | 19% | |
| X | 25% | |
| 2 | 56% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 33% | 67% | 59% | 41% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 69% | 31% | 89% | 11% |
| 1 | 17% | |
| X | 45% | |
| 2 | 38% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9% | 5% | 8% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 34% | 4% | 19% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 3% | 17% | 1% |
| 1 | 28% | |
| X | 10% | |
| 2 | 62% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50% | 50% | 83% | 17% | |
| 22% | 78% | 55% | 45% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 96% | 4% | 99% | 1% | |
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
| 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.9% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.6% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Cerro Largo vs Peñarol — Prediction Form & Streaks
Cerro Largo have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table. Peñarol have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Cerro Largo well in the Over/Under 2.5 Goals market, landing 3 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.