Peñarol vs Liverpool 2-1 Score & Prediction Review
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 1)
Peñarol vs Liverpool — Primera Division Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 1 · Intermediate Round
Full-Time Result →
Liverpool-27.9% Below implied probability
Peñarol+15.2% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 43.4% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
Liverpool+3.3% Above implied probability
Peñarol-31.2% Below implied probability
┊ 54.5% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
Liverpool+4.1% Above implied probability
Peñarol-7.6% Near implied probability
┊ 54.1% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
Liverpool+34.8% Strongly above implied probability
Peñarol+24.4% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 60.3% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
Liverpool+31.6% Strongly above implied probability
Peñarol-50.5% Below implied probability
┊ 38% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
LiverpoolPeñarolOur AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Peñarol and Liverpool across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Liverpool hit at 81% accuracy — that's 34.8% above the bookmaker baseline of 60.3%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, First Half Result predictions for Peñarol sit 50.5% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Peñarol vs Liverpool 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Peñarol vs Liverpool. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
| 1 | 41% | |
| X | 29% | |
| 2 | 30% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 34% | 66% | 61% | 39% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 71% | 29% | 91% | 9% |
| 1 | 32% | |
| X | 46% | |
| 2 | 22% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 5% | 16% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 15% | 5% | 11% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 19% | 2% |
| 1 | 48% | |
| X | 10% | |
| 2 | 41% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30% | 70% | 66% | 34% |
 | 38% | 62% | 74% | 26% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 88% | 12% | 97% | 3% |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
| 1-1 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3-1 | 3-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.0% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% |
| 1 | 41% | |
| X | 29% | |
| 2 | 30% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 34% | 66% | 61% | 39% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 71% | 29% | 91% | 9% |
| 1 | 32% | |
| X | 46% | |
| 2 | 22% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 5% | 16% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 15% | 5% | 11% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 19% | 2% |
| 1 | 48% | |
| X | 10% | |
| 2 | 41% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30% | 70% | 66% | 34% |
| 38% | 62% | 74% | 26% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 88% | 12% | 97% | 3% |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
| 1-1 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.0% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Peñarol vs Liverpool — Prediction Form & Streaks
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Liverpool well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 4 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
Full-Time Result
LiverpoolPeñarolBoth Teams To Score
LiverpoolPeñarolOver/Under 2.5 Goals
LiverpoolPeñarolOver/Under 3.5 Goals
LiverpoolPeñarolFirst Half Result
LiverpoolPeñarolCorrect Score
LiverpoolPeñarol