Defensor Sporting vs Peñarol Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 2)
Defensor Sporting vs Peñarol — Primera Division Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 2 · Intermediate Round
Full-Time Result →
Peñarol+13.9% Strongly above implied probability
Defensor Sporting-28.7% Below implied probability
┊ 43.9% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
Peñarol-31.2% Below implied probability
Defensor Sporting-8.3% Near implied probability
┊ 54.5% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
Peñarol-7.6% Near implied probability
Defensor Sporting+38.6% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 54.1% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
Peñarol+25.2% Strongly above implied probability
Defensor Sporting+66.9% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 59.9% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
Peñarol-50.7% Below implied probability
Defensor Sporting+80.6% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 38.1% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
PeñarolDefensor SportingOur AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Defensor Sporting and Peñarol across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
First Half Result predictions for Defensor Sporting hit at 69% accuracy — that's 80.6% above the bookmaker baseline of 38.1%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, First Half Result predictions for Peñarol sit 50.7% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Defensor Sporting vs Peñarol — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Defensor Sporting vs Peñarol. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
| 1 | 27% | |
| X | 29% | |
| 2 | 45% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 36% | 64% | 63% | 37% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 72% | 28% | 91% | 9% |
| 1 | 21% | |
| X | 47% | |
| 2 | 32% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13% | 5% | 11% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 26% | 5% | 16% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 3% | 19% | 2% |
| 1 | 37% | |
| X | 11% | |
| 2 | 52% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 42% | 58% | 78% | 22% |
 | 29% | 71% | 64% | 36% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 94% | 6% | 99% | 1% |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
| 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 0-3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.4% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% |
| 1 | 27% | |
| X | 29% | |
| 2 | 45% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 36% | 64% | 63% | 37% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 72% | 28% | 91% | 9% |
| 1 | 21% | |
| X | 47% | |
| 2 | 32% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13% | 5% | 11% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 26% | 5% | 16% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 3% | 19% | 2% |
| 1 | 37% | |
| X | 11% | |
| 2 | 52% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42% | 58% | 78% | 22% |
| 29% | 71% | 64% | 36% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 94% | 6% | 99% | 1% |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
| 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.4% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Defensor Sporting vs Peñarol — Prediction Form & Streaks
Defensor Sporting have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table. Peñarol have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Peñarol have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 1 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Defensor Sporting have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 1 matches and currently sit 8th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Defensor Sporting well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
Full-Time Result
PeñarolDefensor SportingBoth Teams To Score
PeñarolDefensor SportingOver/Under 2.5 Goals
PeñarolDefensor SportingOver/Under 3.5 Goals
PeñarolDefensor SportingFirst Half Result
PeñarolDefensor SportingCorrect Score
PeñarolDefensor SportingDefensor Sporting & Peñarol Teams in Best Form
Defensor SportingPeñarolPeñarolDefensor Sporting