Danubio vs Atlético Progreso Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 3)
Danubio vs Progreso — Primera Division Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 3 · Intermediate Round
Full-Time Result →
Danubio-28.7% Below implied probability
Progreso+28.2% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 43.9% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
Danubio-19.6% Below implied probability
Progreso+14.7% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 54.5% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
Danubio-7.6% Near implied probability
Progreso+15.5% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 54.1% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
Danubio+14.9% Strongly above implied probability
Progreso+35.7% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 59.9% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
Danubio+15% Strongly above implied probability
Progreso+31.2% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 38.1% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
DanubioProgresoOur AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Danubio and Progreso across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Progreso hit at 81% accuracy — that's 35.7% above the bookmaker baseline of 59.9%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for Danubio sit 28.7% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Danubio vs Progreso — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Danubio vs Progreso. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
| 1 | 50% | |
| X | 28% | |
| 2 | 22% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 36% | 64% | 63% | 37% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 72% | 28% | 91% | 9% |
| 1 | 35% | |
| X | 46% | |
| 2 | 19% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28% | 5% | 19% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 11% | 5% | 9% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 19% | 3% |
| 1 | 53% | |
| X | 11% | |
| 2 | 35% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26% | 74% | 61% | 39% |
 | 46% | 54% | 81% | 19% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
| 1-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 3-1 | 2-2 | 0-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.9% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% |
| 1 | 50% | |
| X | 28% | |
| 2 | 22% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 36% | 64% | 63% | 37% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 72% | 28% | 91% | 9% |
| 1 | 35% | |
| X | 46% | |
| 2 | 19% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28% | 5% | 19% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 11% | 5% | 9% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 19% | 3% |
| 1 | 53% | |
| X | 11% | |
| 2 | 35% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 74% | 61% | 39% |
| 46% | 54% | 81% | 19% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
| 1-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.9% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Danubio vs Progreso — Prediction Form & Streaks
Danubio have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 11th in the table. Progreso have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table. Danubio have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 1 matches and currently sit 11th in the table. Progreso have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 1 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Progreso well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
Full-Time Result
DanubioProgresoBoth Teams To Score
DanubioProgresoOver/Under 2.5 Goals
DanubioProgresoOver/Under 3.5 Goals
DanubioProgresoFirst Half Result
DanubioProgresoCorrect Score
DanubioProgresoDanubio & Progreso Teams in Best Form
DanubioProgresoDanubioProgreso