Cerro vs Peñarol Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Primera Division - Season 2026 (Round 4)
Cerro vs Peñarol — Primera Division Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 4 · Intermediate Round
Full-Time Result →
Peñarol+2.9% Above implied probability
Cerro+14.4% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 48.6% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
Peñarol-18.7% Below implied probability
Cerro+11.9% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 54.6% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
Peñarol+2.4% Above implied probability
Cerro+22.8% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 54.3% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
Peñarol+27.1% Strongly above implied probability
Cerro+27.1% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 61.2% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
Peñarol-29.4% Below implied probability
Cerro+55.1% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 39.4% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
PeñarolCerroOur AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Cerro and Peñarol across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
First Half Result predictions for Cerro hit at 61% accuracy — that's 55.1% above the bookmaker baseline of 39.4%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, First Half Result predictions for Peñarol sit 29.4% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Cerro vs Peñarol — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Cerro vs Peñarol. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
| 1 | 15% | |
| X | 29% | |
| 2 | 56% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 39% | 61% | 67% | 33% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 75% | 25% | 92% | 8% |
| 1 | 14% | |
| X | 48% | |
| 2 | 38% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7% | 5% | 7% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 32% | 4% | 20% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 3% | 21% | 1% |
| 1 | 25% | |
| X | 13% | |
| 2 | 61% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 55% | 45% | 88% | 12% |
 | 24% | 76% | 59% | 41% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 98% | 2% | 100% | 0% |
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
| 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 2-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.2% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% |
| 1 | 15% | |
| X | 29% | |
| 2 | 56% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 39% | 61% | 67% | 33% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 75% | 25% | 92% | 8% |
| 1 | 14% | |
| X | 48% | |
| 2 | 38% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7% | 5% | 7% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 32% | 4% | 20% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 3% | 21% | 1% |
| 1 | 25% | |
| X | 13% | |
| 2 | 61% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55% | 45% | 88% | 12% |
| 24% | 76% | 59% | 41% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 98% | 2% | 100% | 0% |
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
| 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.2% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Cerro vs Peñarol — Prediction Form & Streaks
Peñarol have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 3 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Peñarol have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Cerro have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 matches and currently sit 16th in the table. Cerro have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 16th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Peñarol well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 3 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
Full-Time Result
PeñarolCerroBoth Teams To Score
PeñarolCerroOver/Under 2.5 Goals
PeñarolCerroOver/Under 3.5 Goals
PeñarolCerroFirst Half Result
PeñarolCerroCorrect Score
PeñarolCerroCerro & Peñarol Teams in Best Form
PeñarolPeñarolCerroCerro