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Sint-Truiden vs Lommel SK

Sint-Truiden vs Lommel United 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 1)

Robbed

Sint-Truiden drew despite more chances

Sint-Truiden

1–1

Lommel United

2.4Chances (xG)1.5

On these chances Sint-Truiden would usually take 1.9 points and Lommel United 0.9; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Sint-Truiden.

Sint-Truiden −0.9 pts vs chancesLommel United +0.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Sint-Truiden vs Lommel United stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Sint-Truiden had more than twice the shots on target

Sint-Truiden

Lommel United

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

65%

Possession

35%

The match between Sint-Truiden and Lommel United ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Sint-Truiden win at 52% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Sint-Truiden vs Lommel United — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sint-Truiden to win

Wrong

Our model 52%Bookmakers 67%

Our track record

In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 61%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 61%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 62%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sint-Truiden ahead at half-time

Wrong

Our model 40%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Sint-Truiden Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sint-Truiden 2+ goals

Wrong

Our model 55%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

Lommel United Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Lommel United 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 69%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Sint-Truiden vs Lommel United 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Sint-Truiden vs Lommel United. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Pro League - Belgium

Sint-Truiden1

Lommel United1

Winner

1 52%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

· FT

Pro League - Belgium

Sint-Truiden1

Lommel United1

Winner

1 52%

BTTS*

Yes 61%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Full Time

152%

X23%

225%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	18%	82%	39%	61%	52%	48%	77%	23%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	18%	82%	39%	61%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	52%	48%	77%	23%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	18%	82%	45%	55%	72%	28%	88%	12%
	37%	63%	69%	31%	88%	12%	96%	4%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	18%	82%	45%	55%
	37%	63%	69%	31%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	72%	28%	88%	12%
	88%	12%	96%	4%

1st Half

140%

X37%

223%

1st Score

158%

X5%

238%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

30%

X-1

15%

2-2

14%

X-X

13%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

10.4%

2-1

10.1%

1-0

8.1%

2-0

7.5%

1-2

6.6%

2-2

6.3%

3-1

5.9%

0-1

5.3%

3-0

4.9%

0-0

4.6%

3-2

3.6%

0-2

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score