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Al Draih vs Al Ahli

Al Draih vs Al Ahli 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 1)

Fair result

Al Draih

0–1

Al Ahli

1.6Chances (xG)1.7

On these chances Al Draih would usually take 1.3 points and Al Ahli 1.4; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Ahli.

Al Draih −1.3 pts vs chancesAl Ahli +1.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Al Draih vs Al Ahli stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Al Ahli had more than twice the shots on target

Al Draih

Al Ahli

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

56%

Possession

44%

The match between Al Draih and Al Ahli ended 0-1. Our AI model predicted a Al Draih win at 54% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Feiha – Al Ahli prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

Al Draih vs Al Ahli — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Draih to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Al Ahli to win.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 18%

Our track record

In 113 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 26.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.6% than to our 50–55%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

Our model 55%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 56%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 66%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Al Ahli ahead at half-time.

Our model 43%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Al Draih Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Draih 2+ goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Al Draih 0–1 goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 28%

Our track record

In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.

Al Ahli Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Ahli 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Al Ahli 2+ goals.

Our model 73%Bookmakers 40%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Al Draih vs Al Ahli 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Al Draih vs Al Ahli. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Pro League - Saudi Arabia

Al Draih0

Al Ahli1

Winner

1 54%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

· FT

Pro League - Saudi Arabia

Al Draih0

Al Ahli1

Winner

1 54%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 56%

Full Time

154%

X24%

222%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	22%	78%	44%	56%	56%	44%	79%	21%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	22%	78%	44%	56%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	56%	44%	79%	21%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	19%	81%	47%	53%	73%	27%	89%	11%
	41%	59%	73%	27%	91%	9%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	19%	81%	47%	53%
	41%	59%	73%	27%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	73%	27%	89%	11%
	91%	9%	97%	3%

1st Half

135%

X43%

222%

1st Score

157%

X6%

237%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

30%

X-1

17%

X-X

16%

2-2

13%

X-2

2-X

1-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

11.2%

2-1

9.9%

1-0

9.8%

2-0

8.5%

0-0

6.2%

0-1

5.7%

3-1

5.7%

2-2

5.5%

1-2

5.4%

3-0

5.0%

3-2

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Feiha – Al Ahli prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).