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Al Draih vs Al Kholood 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 3)

Fair result
Al DraihAl Draih

1–1

Al KholoodAl Kholood
0.7Chances (xG)1.4

On these chances Al Draih would usually take 0.9 points and Al Kholood 1.8; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Draih.

Al Draih +0.1 pts vs chancesAl Kholood −0.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Al Draih vs Al Kholood stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Al Kholood had more than twice the shots on target

Al Draih

Al Kholood

1

Shots on target

4

1

Big chances

4

8

Corners

1

0

Yellow cards

3

58%

Possession

42%

The match between Al Draih and Al Kholood ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Al Draih win at 54% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Abha – Al Kholood prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

Al Draih vs Al Kholood — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Draih to win

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 61%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Draih ahead at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Draw at half-time.

Our model 42%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Al Draih Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Draih 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Al Kholood Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Kholood 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 70%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Al Draih vs Al Kholood 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Al Draih vs Al Kholood. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Pro League - Saudi Arabia
Al DraihAl Draih1
Al KholoodAl Kholood1

Winner

1 54%

BTTS*

Yes 58%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

Full Time

154%
X23%
224%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT18%82%39%61%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT51%49%76%24%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Al Draih18%82%45%55%
Al Kholood39%61%70%30%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Al Draih71%29%87%13%
Al Kholood89%11%96%4%

1st Half

142%
X36%
222%

1st Score

159%
X5%
236%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

35%

X-1

16%

2-2

14%

X-X

13%

X-2

7%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

2-1

4%

1-2

3%

Correct Score

1-1

10.1%

2-1

9.6%

1-0

8.5%

2-0

7.9%

1-2

6.1%

2-2

6.0%

3-1

6.0%

3-0

5.2%

0-1

5.0%

0-0

4.8%

3-2

3.8%

0-2

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Abha – Al Kholood prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

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