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Al Quadisiya vs Al Faisaly 3-1 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)

Fair result
Al QuadisiyaAl Quadisiya

3–1

Al FaisalyAl Faisaly
2.3Chances (xG)0.5

On these chances Al Quadisiya would usually take 2.5 points and Al Faisaly 0.3; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Quadisiya.

Al Quadisiya +0.5 pts vs chancesAl Faisaly −0.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Al Quadisiya vs Al Faisaly stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Al Quadisiya had more than twice the shots on target

Al Quadisiya

Al Faisaly

9

Shots on target

2

6

Big chances

1

4

Corners

2

0

Yellow cards

3

57%

Possession

43%

The match between Al Quadisiya and Al Faisaly ended 3-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Al Quadisiya win with 59% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Shabab – Al Faisaly prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

Al Quadisiya vs Al Faisaly — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Quadisiya to win

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 81%

Our track record

In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 63%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 3.5 goals.

Our model 57%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 257 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.1% than to our 55–60%.

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Quadisiya ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 46%Bookmakers 64%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Al Quadisiya Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Quadisiya 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 83%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Al Faisaly Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Faisaly 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Al Quadisiya vs Al Faisaly 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Al Quadisiya vs Al Faisaly. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Pro League - Saudi Arabia
Al QuadisiyaAl Quadisiya3
Al FaisalyAl Faisaly1

Winner

1 59%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

2-1 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 54%

Full Time

159%
X21%
220%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT17%83%37%63%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT47%54%72%28%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Al Quadisiya15%85%39%61%
Al Faisaly43%57%72%28%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Al Quadisiya65%35%83%17%
Al Faisaly90%10%97%3%

1st Half

146%
X36%
218%

1st Score

165%
X4%
231%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

38%

X-1

16%

X-X

13%

2-2

11%

X-2

8%

1-X

5%

2-1

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

3%

Correct Score

2-1

9.0%

1-1

8.9%

2-0

8.4%

1-0

8.2%

3-1

7.2%

2-2

5.8%

3-0

5.3%

1-2

4.9%

0-1

4.6%

0-0

4.3%

3-2

4.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Shabab – Al Faisaly prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

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