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Al Quadisiya vs Al Ahli 3-2 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 6)

Fair result
Al QuadisiyaAl Quadisiya

3–2

Al AhliAl Ahli
1.9Chances (xG)0.9

On these chances Al Quadisiya would usually take 2.0 points and Al Ahli 0.8; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Quadisiya.

Al Quadisiya +1.0 pts vs chancesAl Ahli −0.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Al Quadisiya vs Al Ahli stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Al Quadisiya had clearly more shots on target

Al Quadisiya

Al Ahli

7

Shots on target

5

7

Big chances

2

6

Corners

5

4

Yellow cards

1

56%

Possession

44%

The match between Al Quadisiya and Al Ahli ended 3-2. Our AI model correctly predicted a Al Quadisiya win with 56% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Feiha – Al Ahli prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

Al Quadisiya vs Al Ahli — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Quadisiya to win

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 60%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 64%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Quadisiya ahead at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.

Our model 40%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Al Quadisiya Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Quadisiya 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Al Ahli Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Ahli 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 73%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Al Quadisiya vs Al Ahli 3-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Al Quadisiya vs Al Ahli. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Pro League - Saudi Arabia
Al QuadisiyaAl Quadisiya3
Al AhliAl Ahli2

Winner

1 56%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

Full Time

156%
X21%
222%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT19%81%41%59%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT54%46%78%22%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Al Quadisiya17%83%45%56%
Al Ahli41%59%73%27%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Al Quadisiya70%30%87%13%
Al Ahli91%9%97%3%

1st Half

140%
X38%
221%

1st Score

162%
X5%
233%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

35%

X-1

16%

2-2

13%

X-X

12%

X-2

8%

1-X

5%

2-1

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

2-1

9.9%

1-1

9.9%

1-0

9.1%

2-0

8.4%

3-1

6.5%

1-2

6.2%

3-0

6.0%

0-1

5.3%

2-2

5.0%

0-0

4.9%

3-2

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Feiha – Al Ahli prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

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