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Al Ahli vs Al Hazm

Al Ahli vs Al Hazm 3-1 Score & Prediction Review

Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)

Fair result

Al Ahli

3–1

Al Hazm

3.6Chances (xG)1.6

On these chances Al Ahli would usually take 2.3 points and Al Hazm 0.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Ahli.

Al Ahli +0.7 pts vs chancesAl Hazm −0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Al Ahli vs Al Hazm stats: how the match was played

Pro League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Al Ahli had more than twice the shots on target

Al Ahli

Al Hazm

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

50%

Possession

50%

The match between Al Ahli and Al Hazm ended 3-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Al Ahli win with 77% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Feiha – Al Ahli prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

Al Ahli vs Al Hazm — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Pro League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Ahli to win

Correct

Our model 77%Bookmakers 78%

Our track record

In 146 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 84.2% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

Our model 54%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 60%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 62%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Ahli ahead at half-time

Correct

Our model 53%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

Al Ahli Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Ahli 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 70%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Al Hazm Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Al Hazm 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 89%Bookmakers 86%

Our track record

In 600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.2% of the time (bookmakers said 85.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Al Ahli vs Al Hazm 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Al Ahli vs Al Hazm. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Pro League - Saudi Arabia

Al Ahli3

Al Hazm1

Winner

1 77%

BTTS*

No 54%

Correct Score

2-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

· FT

Pro League - Saudi Arabia

Al Ahli3

Al Hazm1

Winner

1 77%

BTTS*

No 54%

Correct Score

2-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Full Time

177%

X16%

27%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	18%	82%	40%	60%	52%	48%	72%	28%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	18%	82%	40%	60%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	52%	48%	72%	28%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	8%	92%	30%	70%	55%	45%	76%	24%
	63%	37%	89%	11%	98%	2%	100%	0%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	8%	92%	30%	70%
	63%	37%	89%	11%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	55%	45%	76%	24%
	98%	2%	100%	0%

1st Half

153%

X35%

212%

1st Score

174%

X5%

222%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

52%

X-1

19%

X-X

11%

2-2

1-X

X-2

2-1

2-X

1-2

Correct Score

2-0

13.1%

1-0

10.9%

3-0

10.7%

2-1

9.0%

1-1

7.8%

3-1

6.9%

0-0

4.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Al Feiha – Al Ahli prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).