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Al Nassr vs NEOM SC 1-0 Score & Prediction Review
Pro League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 10)
Al Nassr1–0
NEOM SCOn these chances Al Nassr would usually take 2.0 points and NEOM SC 0.8; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Al Nassr.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Al Nassr vs NEOM SC stats: how the match was played
Pro League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Al Nassr had more than twice the shots on target
Al Nassr
NEOM SC
2
Shots on target
1
3
Big chances
2
3
Corners
1
1
Yellow cards
5
58%
Possession
42%
Al Nassr vs NEOM SC — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Pro League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Al Nassr to win
CorrectOur track record
In 615 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.4% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 6,485 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,307 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,966 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).
Our model’s pick
Al Nassr ahead at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 1,252 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.0% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).
Our model’s pick
Al Nassr 2+ goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,459 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Our model’s pick
NEOM SC 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,484 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.0% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Al Nassr vs NEOM SC 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Al Nassr vs NEOM SC. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Al Nassr1
NEOM SC0Winner
1 67%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
2-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Al Nassr1NEOM SC0Winner
1 67%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
2-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 19% | 81% | 43% | 57% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 55% | 45% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12% | 88% | 38% | 62% |
| 51% | 49% | 82% | 18% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65% | 35% | 84% | 16% |
| 96% | 4% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
45%
X-1
17%
X-X
11%
2-2
8%
1-X
5%
X-2
5%
2-1
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
2-0
11.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
10.5%
1-1
10.1%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
4.9%
2-2
4.3%
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
3-2
3.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Al Nassr vs NEOM SC — Recent Form
Al Nassr have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table. NEOM SC have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table.
Last 5 matches
Al NassrNEOM SCOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Al NassrNEOM SCBoth Teams to Score
Al NassrNEOM SCOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Al NassrNEOM SCOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Al NassrNEOM SCFirst Half Result
Al NassrNEOM SCCorrect Score
Al NassrNEOM SC