Leaky
1/10Bragantino kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 (league 25%).
Bragantino vs Chapecoense Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Serie A - Season 2026 (Round 33)
Unlucky
Bragantino are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
−5points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Bragantino 75% to winChapecoense 8%
Bragantino vs Chapecoense score prediction
Serie A
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert3.1 goals expected
3.1 goals in total: more goals than a typical Serie A game (average 2.7).
goals expected
Bragantino2.2
Chapecoense1.0Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Bragantino vs Chapecoense: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Bragantino vs Chapecoense — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Serie A
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Bragantino to win
Our model 65%Bookmakers 75%
Our track record
In 1,065 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.7% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).
Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our model 52%Bookmakers 48%
Our track record
In 3,101 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 53%Bookmakers 65%
Our track record
In 5,148 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 69%Bookmakers 55%
Our track record
In 3,964 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Bragantino ahead at half-time
Our model 52%Bookmakers 57%
Our track record
In 1,252 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.0% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).
Bragantino Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Bragantino 2+ goals
Our model 58%Bookmakers 74%
Our track record
In 3,468 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Chapecoense Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Chapecoense 0–1 goals
Our model 83%Bookmakers 81%
Our track record
In 1,483 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.0% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Bragantino vs Chapecoense — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Bragantino vs Chapecoense. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Bragantino–
Chapecoense–Winner
1 65%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Bragantino–Chapecoense–Winner
1 65%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Full Time
165%
X21%
214%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 24% | 76% | 47% | 53% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 59% | 41% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14% | 86% | 42% | 58% |
| 52% | 48% | 83% | 17% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69% | 31% | 86% | 14% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
152%
X37%
212%
1st Score
170%
X6%
224%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
42%
X-1
22%
X-X
13%
2-2
6%
X-2
5%
1-X
4%
2-1
3%
2-X
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
12.9%
2-0
11.7%
2-1
10.3%
1-1
9.8%
3-0
7.4%
0-0
6.4%
3-1
6.3%
0-1
4.8%
2-2
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Bragantino vs Chapecoense: the stats that stand out
Serie A
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Bragantino: leaky
1/10Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Bragantino vs Chapecoense: attack vs defence
Serie A
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Serie A teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Bragantino: good attack, weak defence (1.89 xG, 1.94 xGA a game)
- Chapecoense: weak attack, weak defence (1.28 xG, 1.89 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Bragantino vs Chapecoense form and luck check
Serie A
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Serie A gamesBragantino are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
- BragantinoBookmakers: 75% to win today.Wasteful · −6 goals−4.8
- ChapecoenseBookmakers: 8% to win today.+3.0
Last 5 matches
BragantinoL
D
W
D
L
ChapecoenseW
L
L
L
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Bragantino 13th of 20 · Chapecoense 20th of 20
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 20 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Bragantino vs Chapecoense: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Serie A
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Serie A gamesBTTS = both teams scoredChapecoense games go over 2.5 goals more often than the Serie A average (52%), Bragantino games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 52%
Bragantino4 of 10
Chapecoense7 of 10
BTTSleague 57%
Bragantino7 of 10
Chapecoense7 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 403 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Bragantino vs Chapecoense corners, cards and goal times
Serie A
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 5.2
- Cards: league 2.4
- Goals before half-time: league 44%
- Goals after 75': league 23%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Chapecoense3/5
Bragantino3/5
Both Teams to Score
Chapecoense3/5
Bragantino4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Chapecoense2/5
Bragantino3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Chapecoense3/5
Bragantino4/5
First Half Result
Chapecoense2/5
Bragantino2/5
Correct Score
Chapecoense1/5
Bragantino2/5
correct predictionwrong prediction