Palmeiras vs Grêmio 2-1 Score & Prediction Review
Serie A - Season 2026 (Round 9)
Palmeiras vs Grêmio — Serie A Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 9 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result →
Grêmio+75.6% Strongly above implied probability
Palmeiras+25.5% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 44.3% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
Grêmio+44.3% Strongly above implied probability
Palmeiras-38.2% Below implied probability
┊ 53.9% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
Grêmio-17.3% Below implied probability
Palmeiras-79.3% Below implied probability
┊ 53.7% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
Grêmio+41.3% Strongly above implied probability
Palmeiras+6% Above implied probability
┊ 62.9% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
Grêmio+14.4% Strongly above implied probability
Palmeiras+71.9% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 38.8% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
GrêmioPalmeirasOur AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Palmeiras and Grêmio across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Full-Time Result predictions for Grêmio hit at 78% accuracy — that's 75.6% above the bookmaker baseline of 44.3%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Palmeiras sit 79.3% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Palmeiras vs Grêmio 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Palmeiras vs Grêmio. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
| 1 | 63% | |
| X | 22% | |
| 2 | 15% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 53% | 47% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 65% | 35% | 85% | 15% |
| 1 | 44% | |
| X | 38% | |
| 2 | 18% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40% | 5% | 18% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 9% | 4% | 6% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 13% | 3% |
| 1 | 64% | |
| X | 8% | |
| 2 | 28% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17% | 83% | 46% | 54% |
 | 52% | 48% | 84% | 16% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 73% | 27% | 89% | 11% |
| 97% | 3% | 99% | 1% |
| 1-0 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 3-0 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.2% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% |
| 1 | 63% | |
| X | 22% | |
| 2 | 15% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 28% | 72% | 53% | 47% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 65% | 35% | 85% | 15% |
| 1 | 44% | |
| X | 38% | |
| 2 | 18% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40% | 5% | 18% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 9% | 4% | 6% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 13% | 3% |
| 1 | 64% | |
| X | 8% | |
| 2 | 28% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17% | 83% | 46% | 54% |
| 52% | 48% | 84% | 16% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 73% | 27% | 89% | 11% |
| 97% | 3% | 99% | 1% |
| 1-0 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 3-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.2% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Palmeiras vs Grêmio — Prediction Form & Streaks
Palmeiras have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1th in the table. Grêmio have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Grêmio well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
Full-Time Result
GrêmioPalmeirasBoth Teams To Score
GrêmioPalmeirasOver/Under 2.5 Goals
GrêmioPalmeirasOver/Under 3.5 Goals
GrêmioPalmeirasFirst Half Result
GrêmioPalmeirasCorrect Score
GrêmioPalmeirasPalmeiras & Grêmio Teams in Best Form
PalmeirasGrêmio