Fast starters
9/10Flamengo scored first in 9 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 47%).
Serie A Brazil Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming Serie A Brazil match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.
Predictions updated on 11 October 2026.
Serie A Predictions by Market
Season 2026 · Round 30 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
44%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Both Teams To Score
49%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
45%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
73%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
First Half Result
49%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Correct Score
15%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Serie A 2026 prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 44%, BTTS 49%, Over/Under 2.5 45%, Over/Under 3.5 73%, correct score 15%.
Serie A Brazil stats: goals, BTTS, corners and cards vs other leagues
How this competition ranks among the leagues and cups we cover for goals, chances (xG), corners and cards.
How to read it
last 12 months · 407 matchesrank 1 = highest of 63 competitionsHome fortressCard-heavy
Goals a match
2.68
37th of 63
xG a match
2.94
15th of 62
Corners a match
10.23
13th of 62
Cards a match
4.97
7th of 63
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 63 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.
Serie A Brazil: the stats that stand out
The Serie A Brazil teams most unusual in their last 10 games.
How to read it
the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 games9/10Flop as favourites
0/6Corinthians won none of 6 as favourites (league 53%).
Brick wall
6/10Palmeiras kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 26%).
Goal-fests
8/10Chapecoense games went over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 (league 52%).
Hard to break
2/10Athletico PR conceded first in only 2 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 47%).
Goals at both ends
8/10Mirassol: both teams scored in 8 of their last 10 (league 55%).
Always on the scoresheet
1/10Fluminense failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 26%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).
How we measure →Today's Betting Tips for Serie A Brazil
Free predictions for today's Serie A Brazil matches: 1X2, both teams to score, over/under and correct score.
São Paulo2
Vitória1Winner
1 64%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
· FT
São Paulo2Vitória1Winner
1 64%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Full Time
164%
X22%
214%
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16% | 84% | 46% | 54% |
 | 53% | 47% | 85% | 15% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 53% | 47% | 65% | 35% |
Correct Score
1-0
14.7%
2-0
13.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
10.3%
0-0
7.8%
3-0
7.6%
Atlético Mineiro2
Santos1Winner
1 50%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
· FT
Atlético Mineiro2Santos1Winner
1 50%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Grêmio1
Internacional1Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
LIVE
Grêmio1Internacional1Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Palmeiras4
Corinthians0Winner
1 62%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
LIVE
Palmeiras4Corinthians0Winner
1 62%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Flamengo1
Fluminense0Winner
1 69%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
LIVE
Flamengo1Fluminense0Winner
1 69%
BTTS*
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Bahia–
Mirassol–Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Bahia–Mirassol–Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Coritiba–
Botafogo–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Coritiba–Botafogo–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Chapecoense–
Athletico PR–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Chapecoense–Athletico PR–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Bragantino–
Cruzeiro–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Bragantino–Cruzeiro–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Mirassol–Internacional–Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Mirassol–Internacional–Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Botafogo–Chapecoense–Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Botafogo–Chapecoense–Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Atlético Mineiro–Coritiba–Winner
1 64%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Atlético Mineiro–Coritiba–Winner
1 64%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Athletico PR–Palmeiras–Winner
12 71%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
Athletico PR–Palmeiras–Winner
12 71%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 69%
São Paulo–
Vasco da Gama–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
São Paulo–Vasco da Gama–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Grêmio–Cruzeiro–Winner
1X 65%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Grêmio–Cruzeiro–Winner
1X 65%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Fluminense–Santos–Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Fluminense–Santos–Winner
1 56%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Bahia–Flamengo–Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Bahia–Flamengo–Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Remo–Bragantino–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Remo–Bragantino–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Corinthians–Vitória–Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Corinthians–Vitória–Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Cruzeiro–Remo–Winner
1 69%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Cruzeiro–Remo–Winner
1 69%
BTTS*
No 54%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Santos–Bahia–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Santos–Bahia–Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Serie A Brazil xG: chances created and allowed
Every Serie A Brazil team's chances created and allowed a game, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
each logo is a team · tap one for detailseach logo is a team · hover one for detailsSerie A Brazil average · 1.57 xG, 1.57 xGAlast 10 games eachTap a logo to see the team's numbers
↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
Teams by box· 20
Good attack, good defence
Good attack, weak defence
Weak attack, good defence
Weak attack, weak defence
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Serie A Brazil Results vs the Odds
Season 2026 and the last 30 days
How often each result has happened in Serie A Brazil this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.
How to read it
what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days
Result · happened
◀ fewer −20◀ fewer than expected · −20 pts odds expected+20 more ▶+20 pts · more than expected ▶
Verdict
Home wins
290 matches
46.9%
Season (290) · 46.9% vs 47.0%
Season
−0.1
±5.5
30 days (34) · 50.0% vs 48.8%
30 days
+1.2
±15.9
Draws
290 matches
28.3%
Season (290) · 28.3% vs 26.8%
Season
+1.5
±5.1
30 days (34) · 29.4% vs 25.3%
30 days
+4.1
±14.5
Away wins
290 matches
24.8%
Season (290) · 24.8% vs 26.2%
Season
−1.4
±4.9
30 days (34) · 20.6% vs 25.9%
30 days
−5.3
±14.0
Over 2.5 goals
290 matches
51.7%
Season (290) · 51.7% vs 46.7%
Season
+5.0
±5.7
30 days (34) · 64.7% vs 51.3%
30 days
+13.4
±16.6
Both teams scored
290 matches
59.3%
Season (290) · 59.3% vs 49.5%More than expected
Season
+9.8
±5.7More than expected
30 days (34) · 67.6% vs 52.1%
30 days
+15.5
±16.7
Show more markets (6)Show fewer markets
Over 3.5 goals
290 matches
25.9%
Season (290) · 25.9% vs 25.7%
Season
+0.2
±5.0
30 days (34) · 32.4% vs 30.0%
30 days
+2.3
±15.3
Home side ahead at half-time
290 matches
37.9%
Season (290) · 37.9% vs 35.2%
Season
+2.8
±5.4
30 days (34) · 44.1% vs 36.9%
30 days
+7.2
±15.8
Level at half-time
290 matches
40.3%
Season (290) · 40.3% vs 43.1%
Season
−2.8
±5.7
30 days (34) · 32.4% vs 41.0%
30 days
−8.7
±16.5
Away side ahead at half-time
290 matches
21.7%
Season (290) · 21.7% vs 21.7%
Season
0.0
±4.7
30 days (34) · 23.5% vs 22.1%
30 days
+1.5
±13.6
Home team scored 2+
290 matches
46.9%
Season (290) · 46.9% vs 43.6%
Season
+3.3
±5.6
30 days (34) · 52.9% vs 47.3%
30 days
+5.7
±16.2
Away team scored 2+
290 matches
30.3%
Season (290) · 30.3% vs 27.5%
Season
+2.9
±5.0
30 days (34) · 35.3% vs 30.0%
30 days
+5.3
±14.9
Outside the normal range this season: Both teams scored 59.3% vs 49.5% expected (chance alone: 1 in 1,000 or less).
Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.
Show as a tableHide the table
| Result | Period | Matches | Happened | Odds expected | Gap (pts) | Normal range (± pts) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | Season | 290 | 46.9% | 47.0% | −0.1 | ±5.5 | Normal range |
| Home wins | 30 days | 34 | 50.0% | 48.8% | +1.2 | ±15.9 | Normal range |
| Draws | Season | 290 | 28.3% | 26.8% | +1.5 | ±5.1 | Normal range |
| Draws | 30 days | 34 | 29.4% | 25.3% | +4.1 | ±14.5 | Normal range |
| Away wins | Season | 290 | 24.8% | 26.2% | −1.4 | ±4.9 | Normal range |
| Away wins | 30 days | 34 | 20.6% | 25.9% | −5.3 | ±14.0 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | Season | 290 | 51.7% | 46.7% | +5.0 | ±5.7 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30 days | 34 | 64.7% | 51.3% | +13.4 | ±16.6 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | Season | 290 | 59.3% | 49.5% | +9.8 | ±5.7 | More than expected |
| Both teams scored | 30 days | 34 | 67.6% | 52.1% | +15.5 | ±16.7 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | Season | 290 | 25.9% | 25.7% | +0.2 | ±5.0 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30 days | 34 | 32.4% | 30.0% | +2.3 | ±15.3 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | Season | 290 | 37.9% | 35.2% | +2.8 | ±5.4 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 34 | 44.1% | 36.9% | +7.2 | ±15.8 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | Season | 290 | 40.3% | 43.1% | −2.8 | ±5.7 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | 30 days | 34 | 32.4% | 41.0% | −8.7 | ±16.5 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | Season | 290 | 21.7% | 21.7% | 0.0 | ±4.7 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 34 | 23.5% | 22.1% | +1.5 | ±13.6 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | Season | 290 | 46.9% | 43.6% | +3.3 | ±5.6 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | 30 days | 34 | 52.9% | 47.3% | +5.7 | ±16.2 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | Season | 290 | 30.3% | 27.5% | +2.9 | ±5.0 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | 30 days | 34 | 35.3% | 30.0% | +5.3 | ±14.9 | Normal range |
Serie A Brazil luck check: the last 10 games
Serie A Brazil teams taking more or fewer points than their chances usually bring, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4)outside it+7.6 = 8 points more than their chances usually bringRiding their luck4
Cruzeiro+7.6
Santos+5.8
Atlético Mineiro+5.4
Coritiba+4.1
Unlucky6
- CorinthiansWasteful · −3 goals−10.2
BragantinoWasteful · −9 goals−8.2
Remo−6.0- São PauloWasteful · −7 goals−5.4
- PalmeirasWasteful · −5 goals−4.6
BotafogoWasteful · −6 goals−4.2
Points in line, but wasteful: Vasco da Gama (−4 goals). Clinical: Fluminense (+4).
In line with their chances: Flamengo, Athletico PR, Bahia, Grêmio, Chapecoense, Mirassol, Vitória and Internacional.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
How we measure →Serie A Brazil last week: smash-and-grab wins and upsets
Smash-and-grab wins (the side with clearly fewer chances won) and upsets (results the closing odds gave under 20%) from the last 7 days.
How to read it
Oct 4–Oct 11 · 13 matches · odds: closing, margin removed
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Smash-and-grab: the winner had at least 0.8 less xG than the loser (our xG, from shots). Upset: the result the closing odds gave under 20%, with the bookmaker margin removed. Across our leagues about 6% of matches are smash-and-grab wins and about 5% are upsets.
How we measure →Serie A Brazil Standings
Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.
#TEAM | MP | PTS | W | D | L | G | GD | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1  Flamengo | 29 | 61 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 57:25 | +32 | D W W W W |
2  Palmeiras | 29 | 60 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 48:21 | +27 | W D W D D |
3  Fluminense | 29 | 51 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 48:36 | +12 | W W L W D |
4  Athletico PR | 29 | 50 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 45:34 | +11 | D W D L D |
5  Cruzeiro | 29 | 48 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 44:40 | +4 | W W L W L |
CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores Qualifiers
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Relegation
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches
About Serie A Brazil
The league profile compares Serie A Brazil with the 63 leagues and cups we rank over the last 12 months (rank 1 = highest). The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games. The attack vs defence chart puts each team in one of four boxes: top right creates more and allows fewer chances than the league average. The luck check shows who got more or fewer points than their chances in the last 10 games, and Last week lists wins with fewer chances and results the bookmakers gave under 20%.
These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability, tactical trends, and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.
Serie A is the top professional football league in Brazil. It consists of 20 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation. Serie A is known for its technical quality and attacking style of play. Flamengo, Corinthians, and São Paulo FC are the most successful clubs in Serie A history.