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Serie A Brazil Predictions & Stats

Serie A is the top professional football league in Brazil. It consists of 20 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation. Serie A is known for its technical quality and attacking style of play. Flamengo, Corinthians, and São Paulo FC are the most successful clubs in Serie A history.

Serie A Predictions by Market

Season 2026 · Round 17 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

52%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

43.9% Implied Probability

+18.5% Strongly above implied probability

Low Edge

Both Teams To Score

53%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

54.5% Implied Probability

-2.8% Near implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

54.1% Implied Probability

-0.2% Near implied probability

Highest Edge

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

73%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

59.9% Implied Probability

+21.9% Strongly above implied probability

First Half Result

41%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

38.1% Implied Probability

+7.6% Above implied probability

Correct Score

15%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

Our AI model analyzes Serie A matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 3 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for Serie A currently hit at 15%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals is our strongest Serie A betting market this season with 73% prediction accuracy — that's 21.9% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 59.9%. This means our AI model correctly predicts Over/Under 3.5 Goals outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in Serie A.

On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions currently sit 2.8% below bookmaker-implied accuracy at 53%. Bookmaker pricing is particularly sharp for Serie A Both Teams To Score bets, so punters should exercise extra caution and consider combining these picks in accumulators rather than placing them as singles.

The remaining markets — Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, First Half Result — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven Serie A football tips.

Full Time
148%
X26%
226%
Goals Over/Under
<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1714182312/mygameodds/teams/n26u4aogcrtlkzr4wupz.png logo22%78%55%45%
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1714182304/mygameodds/teams/ofqjfra9hbasudzsxmoj.png logo38%62%72%28%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
FT51%49%63%37%
Correct Score
1-11-02-12-00-10-01-2
12.5%11.4%9.8%8.3%7.5%7.3%6.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Serie A Prediction Accuracy by Team

The stats below break down our AI prediction accuracy for every Serie A betting market at the team level. For each market, we rank the teams where our model performs best — for example, Grêmio leads Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions with 94% accuracy (15 correct out of 16 picks). The prediction form streaks show which teams our model has been getting right recently — a run of consecutive correct predictions (shown as green dots) suggests the model has a strong read on that team's current patterns. Teams on a hot streak in a high-edge market like Over/Under 3.5 Goals are especially worth watching for your next Serie A bet.

The form table at the bottom highlights Serie A teams in the best current match-day form based on recent results — useful for identifying in-form sides that may offer additional betting value.

Serie A Full-Time Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1VitóriaVitória
73%(11/15)
2Atlético MineiroAtlético Mineiro
69%(11/16)
3Athletico PRAthletico PR
69%(11/16)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
BragantinoBragantino
5 in a row
CorinthiansCorinthians
4 in a row
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
2 in a row

Serie A Both Teams To Score Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1GrêmioGrêmio
88%(14/16)
2ChapecoenseChapecoense
73%(11/15)
3MirassolMirassol
73%(11/15)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
GrêmioGrêmio
5 in a row
BahiaBahia
4 in a row
InternacionalInternacional
1 in a row

Serie A Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1RemoRemo
75%(12/16)
2CorinthiansCorinthians
69%(11/16)
3GrêmioGrêmio
69%(11/16)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
GrêmioGrêmio
5 in a row
PalmeirasPalmeiras
5 in a row
RemoRemo
5 in a row

Serie A Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1GrêmioGrêmio
94%(15/16)
2BragantinoBragantino
94%(15/16)
3CorinthiansCorinthians
81%(13/16)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
GrêmioGrêmio
5 in a row
PalmeirasPalmeiras
5 in a row
BragantinoBragantino
4 in a row

Serie A First Half Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1RemoRemo
69%(11/16)
2ChapecoenseChapecoense
67%(10/15)
3PalmeirasPalmeiras
56%(9/16)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
RemoRemo
3 in a row
BahiaBahia
2 in a row
GrêmioGrêmio
2 in a row

Serie A Teams in Best Form

FlamengoFlamengo
D
W
D
W
W
FluminenseFluminense
W
D
L
W
W
CruzeiroCruzeiro
D
W
L
W
W

Serie A Brazil Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

#TEAM
MPPTSWDLGGDFORM
1
PalmeirasPalmeiras
1635105126:13+13
D
D
D
W
W
2
FlamengoFlamengo
153194228:13+15
D
W
D
W
W
3
FluminenseFluminense
163093427:21+6
W
D
L
W
W
4
São PauloSão Paulo
162473622:18+4
L
L
D
W
L
5
Athletico PRAthletico PR
162473621:17+4
D
L
D
W
L
CONMEBOL Libertadores
CONMEBOL Libertadores Qualifiers
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Relegation
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches

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