Bahia vs Grêmio 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
Serie A - Season 2026 (Round 16)
Bahia vs Grêmio — Serie A Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 16 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result →
-58.9% Below implied probability
+41.6% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 45.7% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
+14.5% Strongly above implied probability
+50.9% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 54.6% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
-31.1% Below implied probability
+18.9% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 54.4% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
+24.8% Strongly above implied probability
+46.8% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 60.1% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
-2.8% Near implied probability
+37% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 38.6% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Bahia and Grêmio across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Both Teams To Score predictions for Grêmio hit at 82% accuracy — that's 50.9% above the bookmaker baseline of 54.6%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for Bahia sit 58.9% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Bahia vs Grêmio 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Bahia vs Grêmio. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
| 1 | 50% | |
| X | 26% | |
| 2 | 25% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 27% | 73% | 52% | 48% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 64% | 36% | 86% | 14% |
| 1 | 41% | |
| X | 42% | |
| 2 | 17% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32% | 5% | 18% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 11% | 5% | 8% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 16% | 3% |
| 1 | 61% | |
| X | 7% | |
| 2 | 32% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22% | 78% | 55% | 45% | |
| 40% | 60% | 74% | 26% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% | |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
| 1-1 | 1-0 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3-0 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
| 1 | 50% | |
| X | 26% | |
| 2 | 25% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 27% | 73% | 52% | 48% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 64% | 36% | 86% | 14% |
| 1 | 41% | |
| X | 42% | |
| 2 | 17% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32% | 5% | 18% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 11% | 5% | 8% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 16% | 3% |
| 1 | 61% | |
| X | 7% | |
| 2 | 32% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22% | 78% | 55% | 45% | |
| 40% | 60% | 74% | 26% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% | |
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 2% |
| 1-1 | 1-0 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.2% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Bahia vs Grêmio — Prediction Form & Streaks
Grêmio have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 14th in the table. Bahia have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Bahia well in the Both Teams To Score market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.