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Bahia vs Grêmio 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Serie A - Season 2026 (Round 16)

The match between Bahia and Grêmio ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Bahia win at 50% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Bahia vs Grêmio — Serie A Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026 · Round 16 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

BahiaBahia
18.8%(3/16)

-58.9% Below implied probability

GrêmioGrêmio
64.7%(11/17)

+41.6% Strongly above implied probability

45.7% Implied Probability

Both Teams To Score

BahiaBahia
62.5%(10/16)

+14.5% Strongly above implied probability

GrêmioGrêmio
82.4%(14/17)

+50.9% Strongly above implied probability

54.6% Implied Probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

BahiaBahia
37.5%(6/16)

-31.1% Below implied probability

GrêmioGrêmio
64.7%(11/17)

+18.9% Strongly above implied probability

54.4% Implied Probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

BahiaBahia
75%(12/16)

+24.8% Strongly above implied probability

GrêmioGrêmio
88.2%(15/17)

+46.8% Strongly above implied probability

60.1% Implied Probability

First Half Result

BahiaBahia
37.5%(6/16)

-2.8% Near implied probability

GrêmioGrêmio
52.9%(9/17)

+37% Strongly above implied probability

38.6% Implied Probability

Correct Score

BahiaBahia
6.3%(1/16)
GrêmioGrêmio
17.6%(3/17)

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Bahia and Grêmio across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

Both Teams To Score predictions for Grêmio hit at 82% accuracy — that's 50.9% above the bookmaker baseline of 54.6%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for Bahia sit 58.9% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Bahia vs Grêmio 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Bahia vs Grêmio. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

Full Time
150%
X26%
225%
Goals Over/Under
<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT27%73%52%48%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
64%36%86%14%
1st Half
141%
X42%
217%
Half Time/Full Time
1-11-XX-1
32%5%18%
2-22-XX-2
11%5%8%
1-2X-X2-1
2%16%3%
1st Score
161%
X7%
232%
Team Goals Over/Under
<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1714182298/mygameodds/teams/vhv3hlb85rrewf8bmzns.png logo22%78%55%45%
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1714182305/mygameodds/teams/y3up5kgrgr6guwmxjwcy.png logo40%60%74%26%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1714182298/mygameodds/teams/vhv3hlb85rrewf8bmzns.png logo80%20%93%7%
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1714182305/mygameodds/teams/y3up5kgrgr6guwmxjwcy.png logo92%8%98%2%
Correct Score
1-11-02-12-00-00-11-2
12.2%12.0%9.8%8.9%7.5%7.3%6.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Bahia vs Grêmio — Prediction Form & Streaks

Grêmio have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 14th in the table. Bahia have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table.

Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Bahia well in the Both Teams To Score market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.

Full-Time Result

Correct Streak
BahiaBahia
0 in a row
GrêmioGrêmio
1 in a row

Both Teams To Score

Correct Streak
BahiaBahia
5 in a row
GrêmioGrêmio
0 in a row

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Correct Streak
BahiaBahia
0 in a row
GrêmioGrêmio
0 in a row

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Correct Streak
BahiaBahia
0 in a row
GrêmioGrêmio
0 in a row

First Half Result

Correct Streak
BahiaBahia
0 in a row
GrêmioGrêmio
3 in a row

Correct Score

Correct Streak
BahiaBahia
0 in a row
GrêmioGrêmio
0 in a row

Bahia & Grêmio Teams in Best Form

GrêmioGrêmio
W
D
L
D
W
BahiaBahia
L
D
L
D
D

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