1. Mirassol vs Remo

Mirassol vs Remo 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Serie A - Season 2026 (Round 21)

Fair result
MirassolMirassol

2–1

RemoRemo
1.3Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Mirassol would usually take 1.5 points and Remo 1.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Mirassol.

Mirassol +1.5 pts vs chancesRemo −1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Mirassol vs Remo stats: how the match was played

Serie A

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Mirassol had more than twice the shots on target

Mirassol

Remo

4

Shots on target

2

4

Big chances

1

6

Corners

3

2

Yellow cards

2

55%

Possession

45%

The match between Mirassol and Remo ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Mirassol win with 58% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Remo – Bragantino prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Mirassol vs Remo — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Serie A

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Mirassol to win

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Mirassol ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 42%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Mirassol Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Mirassol 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Remo Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Remo 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 76%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Mirassol vs Remo 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Mirassol vs Remo. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
MirassolMirassol2
RemoRemo1

Winner

1 58%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

158%
X23%
219%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT22%78%45%55%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT58%42%81%19%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Mirassol16%84%45%55%
Remo44%57%76%24%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Mirassol72%28%89%11%
Remo92%8%98%2%

1st Half

142%
X41%
216%

1st Score

166%
X6%
229%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

36%

X-1

21%

X-X

14%

2-2

8%

X-2

6%

1-X

5%

2-1

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

11.2%

2-1

10.8%

1-1

10.6%

2-0

9.6%

3-0

6.0%

3-1

6.0%

0-0

5.7%

2-2

5.3%

1-2

5.3%

0-1

5.2%

3-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Remo – Bragantino prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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