Coritiba vs Chapecoense 2-1 Score & Prediction Review

Serie A - Season 2026 (Round 22)

The match between Coritiba and Chapecoense ended 2-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Coritiba win with 50% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Grêmio – Chapecoense prediction & betting tips (Aug 30, 2026).

Coritiba vs Chapecoense — Serie A Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026 · Round 22 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

43.2% implied

Chapecoense50%11/22+15.7%Strongly above implied probability
Coritiba39.1%9/23-9.5%Near implied probability

Both Teams To Score

54.4% implied

Chapecoense68.2%15/22+25.4%Strongly above implied probability
Coritiba56.5%13/23+3.9%Above implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54.1% implied

Chapecoense50%11/22-7.6%Near implied probability
Coritiba56.5%13/23+4.4%Above implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

60.7% implied

Chapecoense63.6%14/22+4.8%Above implied probability
Coritiba73.9%17/23+21.7%Strongly above implied probability

First Half Result

38.1% implied

Chapecoense54.5%12/22+43%Strongly above implied probability
Coritiba43.5%10/23+14.2%Strongly above implied probability
Chapecoense13.6%3/22
Coritiba13%3/23

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Coritiba and Chapecoense across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

First Half Result predictions for Chapecoense hit at 55% accuracy — that's 43% above the bookmaker baseline of 38.1%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for Coritiba sit 9.5% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Coritiba vs Chapecoense 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Coritiba vs Chapecoense. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
CoritibaCoritiba2
ChapecoenseChapecoense1

Winner

1X 77%

BTTS**

No 53%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

Full Time

150%
X27%
223%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT32%68%58%42%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT69%31%89%11%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Coritiba24%76%58%42%
Chapecoense43%57%78%22%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Coritiba83%17%94%6%
Chapecoense94%6%99%1%

1st Half

135%
X47%
218%

1st Score

157%
X10%
233%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

25%

X-X

20%

X-1

19%

2-2

12%

X-2

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

14.0%

1-1

12.7%

2-1

9.7%

2-0

9.7%

0-0

9.5%

0-1

8.5%

1-2

5.8%

3-1

4.4%

3-0

4.4%

2-2

4.3%

0-2

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Coritiba vs Chapecoense — Prediction Form & Streaks

Coritiba have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table. Chapecoense have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 20th in the table.

Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Coritiba well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 4 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.

Full-Time ResultCorrect Streak
ChapecoenseChapecoense
0 in a row
CoritibaCoritiba
0 in a row
Both Teams To ScoreCorrect Streak
ChapecoenseChapecoense
1 in a row
CoritibaCoritiba
0 in a row
Over/Under 2.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
ChapecoenseChapecoense
0 in a row
CoritibaCoritiba
1 in a row
Over/Under 3.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
ChapecoenseChapecoense
0 in a row
CoritibaCoritiba
4 in a row
First Half ResultCorrect Streak
ChapecoenseChapecoense
0 in a row
CoritibaCoritiba
1 in a row
Correct ScoreCorrect Streak
ChapecoenseChapecoense
0 in a row
CoritibaCoritiba
0 in a row

Coritiba & Chapecoense Teams in Best Form

CoritibaCoritiba
D
W
L
D
L
ChapecoenseChapecoense
D
L
D
L
L
correct predictionincorrect
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

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